XRP 突破失敗,價格回落風險加劇




XRP拒絕突破$2.67,面臨更深回調風險,因美聯儲減息導致比特幣下滑

XRP的價格從$2.63下滑至$2.59,因為未能突破$2.67的阻力區,交易量在此過程中激增至約392.6萬個代幣,這一數字比近期平均水平高出約658%。

要點:
– XRP在$2.67的阻力位遭遇失敗突破,導致價格下跌至$2.59,交易量大幅上升。
– 鏈上數據顯示,大型XRP持有者正在拋售,這引發了在高期貨未平倉合約下的獲利了結擔憂。
– 交易者應密切關注$2.58的支撐位,若跌破可能預示著進一步下行,而反彈則可能瞄準更高的阻力位。

目前$2.67-$2.69區域成為關鍵的上方供應區域。與此同時,$2.580附近的支撐和約$2.61的200日EMA正在作為支撐。

新聞背景
– XRP的價格從$2.63下滑至$2.59,因為未能突破$2.67的阻力區,交易量激增至約392.6萬個代幣,這一數字比近期平均水平高出約658%。
– 此次價格波動恰逢接近2025年初的XRP期貨未平倉合約的高位(約$29億)。
– 同時,鏈上數據顯示主要錢包正在拋售大量XRP,即使在更廣泛的機構興趣下,仍引發了獲利了結的擔憂。

價格行動摘要
– 在24小時內,XRP的價格從約$2.63下滑至$2.59,形成了$0.12的交易區間。關鍵的價格上限出現在約$2.67的阻力位,交易量在此處激增,價格隨之回落。
– 在04:04-04:05 UTC期間,價格從約$2.590下滑至$2.579,交易量約為2.18萬個代幣,這一數字比每小時的平均水平高出約355%,隨後在04:08-04:10期間交易幾乎停滯。
– 此次下滑突破了$2.580附近的支撐區,形成了新的低點,低於之前的整合水平。

技術分析
– 在阻力位的拒絕確認了短期的看跌轉變:儘管長期結構仍顯示積累,但短期風險已回到下行方向。
– 期貨未平倉合約仍然高企,但鯨魚錢包的拋售數據顯示目前的主導趨勢是分配而非積累。
– RSI/MACD動量指標顯示出背離(價格創出更高的高點,但動量卻出現更低的高點),進一步警告潛在的修正。

交易者需知
– 交易者應將當前水平視為高風險/高回報的轉折區域。如果價格在$2.58-$2.60區間內反彈並伴隨增加的交易量,可能會重新設定動量,目標指向$2.70-$3.00。
– 但若明確跌破$2.58,則可能進一步下探至約$2.53,甚至$2.50,特別是如果鯨魚流出持續且未平倉合約減少。
– 監控大型錢包流動、期貨未平倉合約動態和交易量激增將是判斷這是否僅僅是整合還是更深修正的關鍵。

這篇文章的分析清楚地指出了XRP目前面臨的挑戰,尤其是在市場波動性加劇的背景下。隨著大型持有者的拋售行為,這不僅反映出市場情緒的變化,也可能預示著更深層次的市場調整。交易者需要保持警覺,密切關注市場動態,因為這些變化可能會對整個加密貨幣市場產生連鎖反應。

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