XRP窄幅震盪突破在即，ETF資產升至12.5億美元

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比特幣反彈動力減弱，XRP雖有ETF資產達12.5億美元仍跌至1.86美元

XRP價格維持窄幅波動，賣方守住1.90美元阻力位，買方則支持1.86美元水平，顯示市場或將迎來關鍵走勢。

作者：Shaurya Malwa，CD Analytics
更新時間：2025年12月27日下午3:40
發布時間：2025年12月27日下午3:26

（CoinDesk數據）

重點摘要：

– 儘管現貨ETF需求穩定，且ETF持有資產總額升至12.5億美元，XRP價格仍跌至1.86美元，反映市場在關鍵技術水平上仍在消化供應。
– 機構投資者越來越傾向透過結構化產品如ETF來獲取XRP敞口，因為這類產品減少了託管和合規摩擦。
– XRP價格在1.85至1.91美元的窄幅區間內波動，賣方堅守1.90美元阻力，買方則在1.86美元附近支撐，暗示市場即將出現決定性突破。

XRP價格下滑至1.86美元，因交易者在反彈時選擇賣出。儘管如此，現貨ETF需求保持穩定，ETF持有資產總額也增加至12.5億美元，顯示市場仍在消化重要技術阻力位的供應壓力。

新聞背景

機構對XRP的需求持續增長，主要透過交易所交易基金（ETF）進行。近期投資者淨增持819萬美元，使ETF持有淨資產達到12.5億美元，強化了專業投資者更傾向於透過受監管的投資工具建倉，而非追逐現貨價格波動的觀點。

這一趨勢符合機構加密資產配置的整體模式：投資組合經理越來越偏好結構化產品，因為它們降低了託管和合規的障礙，尤其是在流動性充裕及監管環境逐步明朗的情況下。XRP在多個交易場所有良好深度，且ETF需求穩定，令長期需求保持穩健，儘管短期價格波動依然劇烈。

在整體市場方面，比特幣嘗試反彈但在美國交易時段未能持續，主要加密貨幣仍處於風險偏好降低、區間震盪的狀態，資金流向仍受技術關鍵位影響。

技術分析

XRP價格由1.88美元跌至1.86美元，持續在1.85至1.91美元區間內波動。賣方多次在1.9060至1.9100美元阻力區域防守。當日交易量在最活躍時段急劇上升，達到7,530萬枚，較平均水平高出約76%，顯示這並非低流動性下的價格漂移，而是市場真實的賣壓。

價格一度突破1.854至1.858美元的盤整區間，短暫觸及1.862美元，交易活動放大約8至9倍，但未能持續，隨即回落至1.86美元附近，供應壓力回歸。

多次守住1.90美元以上阻力，顯示賣方仍在此區域趁勢出貨。與此同時，1.86至1.87美元附近的買盤持續出現，防止市場大幅下跌，形成一個收緊的價格區間，下一次突破可能具有決定性意義。

價格走勢總結

– XRP價格由1.8783美元滑落至1.8604美元，鎖定在1.85至1.91美元區間內。
– 最強的賣壓出現在1.9061美元阻力位，伴隨高於平均的交易量。
– 多次測試1.86美元支撐，牛市力量守住該價位，限制了跌幅。
– 短暫突破先前盤整區間未能轉化為持續漲勢。

交易者須知

目前市場呈現兩股力量拉鋸：ETF資金流持續提供支持，但短線交易者仍將1.90至1.91美元視為賣出區間。

關鍵價位如下：

– 若1.87美元支撐有效，且XRP能重回1.875至1.88美元區間，下一個測試目標將是1.90至1.91美元的重壓供應區。若能收盤站穩該區，將引發空頭回補，推動價格進一步上探1.95至2.00美元。
– 若1.86美元失守，價格可能滑落至1.77至1.80美元的需求區，該區歷史上有買盤防守，且通常是市場恐慌情緒的高峰。

目前的價格走勢看似盤整且有分配賣壓，但ETF資金流作為穩定器，可能令下跌過程較為緩慢，除非比特幣出現大幅下跌。

—

編輯評論：

這篇報道清楚展示了XRP在技術面與資金面上的複雜互動，尤其是在機構投資者透過ETF持續建倉的背景下。ETF作為一種結構化產品，為機構提供了更安全、合規的投資途徑，這不僅反映了加密市場逐步成熟，也顯示監管環境的改善對資金流動的重要影響。XRP的價格雖短期波動，但長期需求依然穩健，這種「底層需求與短期波動」的矛盾，正是許多加密資產當前面臨的典型情況。

此外，市場對於1.90美元阻力的反覆試探及買方在1.86美元的堅守，形成了典型的「壓縮區間」，往往是大行情前的整固階段。投資者應密切關注這些關鍵價位的突破，因為突破方向將決定下一波趨勢。

對香港投資者而言，這提醒我們在投資加密貨幣時，除了關注價格波動，更應重視背後的資金流向和結構性變化。ETF等合規產品的興起，或將成為未來資金進入加密市場的主力，這對市場長期健康發展有積極意義，但同時也意味著市場波動可能被更複雜的資金動態所影響，投資策略需更為謹慎和多元化。

總結來說，XRP的現狀是加密市場成熟與波動共存的縮影，投資者應從技術面與資金面雙重角度審視，避免單純追逐價格，才能在未來市場中立於不敗之地。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。圖片由Google Gemini / Imagen根據內容自動生成。

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