XRP恐慌情緒升溫,價格會崩盤嗎?




XRP見證自特朗普關稅以來最高的「零售FUD」:下一步會大幅拋售嗎?

XRP的價格突破可能轉化為45%的漲幅,因為鯨魚的積累和ETF的樂觀情緒抵消了市場上日益上升的零售恐懼。

關鍵要點

* Santiment數據顯示,XRP交易者的恐懼情緒上升,這一模式在之前曾預示著125%的反彈。

* XRP的三角形突破目標為4.29美元,而鯨魚的積累和ETF的樂觀情緒支持上行。

XRP目前正在經歷零售交易者的看漲情緒急劇下降,恐懼和挫折感回到自特朗普總統在四月宣布關稅以來的水平。

XRP價格會崩潰嗎?

根據鏈上分析平台Santiment的數據,XRP的看漲與看跌情緒比率在過去兩天內降至1.0以下,這意味著社交媒體上看跌的提及次數超過了正面的。

但Santiment認為這種所謂的「零售FUD」——即恐懼、不確定性和懷疑——實際上是一個看漲的指標。

他們的上行預測核心在於XRP對於四月情緒比率下降的反應。當時,該代幣最初下跌超過25%,但隨後反彈超過125%,這表明市場的動向與小型交易者的預期相反。

簡而言之,當不耐煩的XRP交易者在當地低點附近開始拋售時,強勁的資金進場進行積累,吸收了看跌的壓力。如果Santiment的預測成真,該代幣可能會出現價格突破,而不是崩潰。

主要XRP地址群體正在積累

追蹤零售和鯨魚地址的鏈上指標也支持看漲的前景。

例如,根據數據資源Glassnode的報告,持有超過100個XRP的實體在近期的價格整合期間持有量持續增加。

XRP交易者在更廣泛的風險市場增強的背景下仍然堅韌,這與美國美元走弱及持續的美國政府關閉有關。

對於潛在的SEC批准XRP ETF的樂觀情緒也幫助抵消了社交媒體上的悲觀情緒,這表明鏈上和機構的情緒仍然堅定看漲。

XRP對稱三角形突破暗示下一步將上漲45%

從技術角度來看,XRP似乎正處於其對稱三角形模式的突破階段。

目前價格稍微回調,以重新測試剛剛突破的三角形上邊界。在技術分析中,這被稱為「重新測試」——市場檢查之前的阻力水平是否現在可以作為支撐。

如果從這一水平成功反彈,則可能為朝向4.29美元的漲幅鋪平道路,這大約是目前價格的45%。這一上行目標與之前分享的多個XRP看漲預測一致。

相反,如果決定性地跌破趨勢線,則會使看漲設置失效,並增加XRP價格回調至接近2.33美元的下行風險。

這篇文章並不包含投資建議或推薦。每項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決策時應進行自己的研究。

在當前的市場環境中,XRP的情緒波動反映了投資者對於未來的不同預期。雖然目前的零售FUD似乎在影響短期情緒,但長期的鯨魚積累和ETF的潛在批准則顯示出市場的韌性。這種情況提醒我們,市場情緒往往是短暫的,真正的價值和趨勢往往在於基本面和長期的資金流動。投資者應該保持警惕,並在做出決策時考慮更全面的市場動態。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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