XRP幣價下跌?交易員沽空,交易所流入量增加




XRP價格展望黯淡,交易者做空,交易所資金流入增加

XRP的永續合約資金利率仍然為負,顯示出對做空頭寸的偏好。
作者:Shaurya Malwa | 編輯:Omkar Godbole
更新於2025年2月6日,上午8:38 UTC 發布於2025年2月6日,上午8:33 UTC

要點:
週四早上,XRP集中交易所的淨資金流入在經歷數天的資金流出後轉為正值,這使得該代幣成為焦點,因為它的本地去中心化交易所(DEX)創下了破紀錄的月份。
XRP的交易價格低於關鍵支撐水平,短期內的直接阻力位於$2.49,並在$2.60附近有更多阻力。

根據Coinglass數據,週四超過1500萬美元的XRP流入了集中交易所,主要是來自Bybit和Kraken的存款。這些資金流入可能表明市場上有出售代幣的意圖,降低了反彈的可能性。

故事繼續
不要錯過另一個故事。今天就訂閱《Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter》。查看所有新聞通訊。

同時,截至週四早上,XRP永續期貨市場的8小時資金利率為-0.0065%,這意味著市場對於做空頭寸的偏好,這些頭寸可以從價格下跌中獲利。值得注意的是,XRP的資金利率比ETH和BTC更為負面。

負資金利率意味著持有做空頭寸的交易者願意支付一小筆費用給持有多頭頭寸的交易者,以維持他們的看跌押注。

XRP低於關鍵平均線
XRP的交易價格低於幾條關鍵移動平均線,其中10日指數移動平均線(EMA)為$2.84,21日EMA為$2.88。低於這些移動平均線的交易表明短期內的看跌前景。

然而,100日簡單移動平均線(SMA)剛好在$2以上,200日SMA則在$1.30,兩者均低於當前價格,這表明長期趨勢仍然看漲。移動平均線通過平滑價格數據來幫助識別趨勢,而上述使用的期間讀數在零售交易者中非常流行。

目前,XRP的直接阻力位於$2.49,隨後是$2.60。如果突破這些水平,將重新激活看漲前景,為突破$3的目標鋪平道路,這一價格在2018年以來首次在1月突破。

XRP的14日相對強弱指數(RSI)——衡量價格變動幅度——在亞洲交易時段剛剛超過36,顯示出中性區域。傳統上,RSI值超過70表示超買狀況,而低於30則表示超賣狀況。RSI約為50被視為中性。

評論與分析
XRP目前的市場情況反映出多重挑戰,特別是在資金流入和交易者情緒方面。儘管近期出現了資金流入的跡象,但這些流入是否能夠轉化為實質性的價格反彈仍然值得懷疑。市場的負資金利率顯示出交易者對未來價格下跌的預期,這可能會進一步壓制價格上漲的潛力。

此外,XRP的技術指標顯示出短期內的看跌趨勢,這意味著投資者需要謹慎行事。當前的阻力位於$2.49和$2.60之間,突破這些水平可能會改變市場情緒,但在此之前,市場的整體情緒似乎仍然偏向悲觀。未來幾周,XRP能否突破這些技術阻力,將成為市場關注的焦點。

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