XRP價格下滑,Grayscale GXRP ETF未能激活市場




XRP下滑至$2.08,Grayscale的GXRP ETF首發未能激活市場
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交易者應留意$2.03以下的潛在跌破,這可能導致進一步下滑至$1.91。
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作者:[Shaurya Malwa](https://www.coindesk.com/author/shaurya-malwa),[CD Analytics](https://www.coindesk.com/author/coindesk-analytics)

更新於2025年11月24日下午2:54,首次發佈於2025年11月24日下午2:53。

![](https://www.coindesk.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcdn.sanity.io%2Fimages%2Fs3y3vcno%2Fproduction%2F3c21ccdf4cb58273228c7418feb940319d725c05-1202×732.png%3Fauto%3Dformat&w=3840&q=75)

新聞重點
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* Grayscale在NYSE Arca推出GXRP ETF,儘管加密貨幣價格下滑,仍擴大了機構對XRP的接觸。
* XRP的價格從$2.13跌至$2.08,技術因素壓過了ETF的正面消息。
* 交易者應留意$2.03以下的潛在跌破,這可能導致進一步下滑至$1.91。

Grayscale於週一在NYSE Arca推出Grayscale XRP Trust ETF(GXRP),這是最新的機構XRP產品。儘管ETF的推出帶來了正面消息,但XRP的價格仍然下滑,接近關鍵的心理支持位。

新聞背景
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Grayscale在週一擴展了其交易所交易產品的陣容,推出了Grayscale XRP Trust ETF(GXRP),為投資者提供了直接和“簡單明瞭”的XRP接觸。該產品最初於2024年9月作為私人配售推出,並隨著Grayscale的新狗狗幣ETF一起正式轉換為現貨ETF。

Grayscale的ETF資本市場高級副總裁Krista Lynch表示,GXRP的上市是“擴大對不斷增長的XRP生態系統的接觸的另一個重要步驟”,使該基金成為機構和零售投資者的高效入口。

GXRP加入了不斷增加的XRP ETF名單,包括Canary Capital和REX Shares的產品,還有多家發行商根據第8(a)條款提交自動批准的申請。這一ETF的增長反映了對受監管的XRP接觸的強烈機構需求,儘管該資產仍然保持著按市值計算的第四大加密貨幣的地位。

儘管XRP的監管歷史動盪,但不斷增長的ETF生態系統仍在發展。美國證券交易委員會(SEC)曾指控Ripple通過未註冊的XRP銷售籌集了13億美元。2023年的一項聯邦裁決認為Ripple的程序性交易銷售**並未**違反證券法,因為其盲目出價/要價結構,但直接的機構銷售則被視為證券發行。這一部分的清晰度有助於為更廣泛的機構接受鋪平道路,儘管目前的價格行為在很大程度上依賴於技術因素,而非單純的監管發展。

價格行為摘要
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XRP在週二的交易中穩步下滑,從$2.13跌至$2.08,因為獲利了結和疲弱的現貨流動壓過了ETF的利好消息。該代幣在$2.03至$2.15的波動範圍內交易,反映出加密市場的持續不確定性。

* 交易量在最強賣出階段上升了28%,達到177.9M
* 價格短暫觸及$2.03需求區,反彈至$2.11後停滯
* 多次未能重新獲得$2.14–$2.15的確認阻力
* 收盤時的賣出壓力突破了$2.10的支持位,將其轉變為即時阻力

儘管ETF擴展和加強了對XRP的機構基礎設施,但現貨市場的即時反應顯示交易者更重視技術水平而非基本面。

技術分析
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跌破**$2.10**創造了一系列**更低的高點和更低的低點**,確認了自XRP在本週早些時候拒絕$2.30以來形成的更廣泛短期下行趨勢。

* 主要支持位:$2.03–$2.05需求區
* 即時阻力位:$2.14–$2.15失敗區域
* 中期阻力位:$2.20–$2.24區域
* 跌破目標:低於$2.00的流動性口袋在$1.91
* $2.03的水平仍然至關重要。清晰的跌破將暴露出與十月結構相關的更深回撤水平。
* XRP仍然在短期下降通道中
* 日線圖顯示賣方在每次重新測試$2.15時都在防守
* 在$2.03–$2.07形成的潛在底部缺乏信心

動量指標(RSI/MACD)顯示出超賣信號,但**尚未出現趨勢反轉確認**。

交易者應關注的事項
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* 跌破將直接通向$1.91,若市場風險情緒加劇,甚至可能跌至$1.78。
* GXRP和其他新推出的ETF必須顯示持續的資金流入,而非單日激增,才能使機構情緒轉化為現貨買入支持。
* 這一阻力集群決定了多頭是否重新掌控市場。若突破,目標將為$2.20–$2.24。
* 比特幣的重新疲弱會直接影響像XRP這樣的高貝塔代幣。如果比特幣繼續違反結構支持,XRP可能無法維持在$2.00。
* 大戶分配減緩——若資金流入交易所再次激增,則下行壓力將立即回升。

在這篇文章中,我們看到Grayscale的GXRP ETF雖然在市場上推出,但並未能有效提振XRP的價格,反而因為技術因素的影響,市場情緒仍然偏向悲觀。這反映出目前加密貨幣市場的脆弱性,尤其是在面對不確定的監管環境和市場情緒時。投資者應該更加謹慎,密切關注市場動向和技術指標,以便做出更明智的投資決策。

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