Vivendi新星業務需時間解釋策略




Vivendi新成立的「星系」公司需時間闡明策略,分析師和投資者表示

GDANSK/PARIS/LONDON(路透社) – Vivendi(OTC:VIVHY)管理層及其新分拆公司如Canal+、Havas和Louis Hachette Group的高層需要更清晰地闡述他們的策略,以說服投資者相信這次分拆是值得的,分析師和投資者表示。

去年12月,受到Bollore家族支持的分拆將Vivendi拆分為四家市值數十億歐元的公司,旨在釋放價值,因為這家法國媒體集團的整體市值被估計低於其各部分的總和。

然而,一些獨立公司的表現不佳,部分原因是缺乏關於策略的信息、令人失望的財務指引,以及對於付費電視集團Canal+收購南非廣播公司MultiChoice(JO:MCGJ)的不確定性。

Vivendi新上市公司的股價在交易的首個月下滑至分拆前的總值以下,這打擊了Bollore家族提高公司價值的希望。

目前只有Louis Hachette的股價高於其上市價格,而Vivendi的股價則高於分拆前的最後收盤價(根據交易所運營商Euronext的調整)。

根據LSEG數據,截至1月17日,四家公司的總市值為77億歐元(79.2億美元),而在分拆前,Vivendi的估值約為83億歐元。

Canal+在倫敦上市,廣告公司Havas在阿姆斯特丹首次亮相,而出版業務Louis Hachette Group則在巴黎上市。

Canal+是最大的公司,自12月16日上市以來,其股價下跌了31%。

Enders Analysis的分析師Francois Godard表示,無法在所有公司的最佳周期點進行分拆,並且由於其南非交易尚未完成,Canal+受到了影響。

「現在他們需要花時間解釋他們的業務,」他提到Canal+。

他表示,市場在2025年下半年將能更清楚地看到情況,屆時幾個季度的業績將會公布。

Havas和Louis Hachette分別將於3月5日和2月13日公布全年的業績。Canal+尚未設定結果公布的日期。

Vivendi、Canal+、Havas和Louis Hachette及Bollore集團的代表均拒絕置評。

瑞士銀行的分析師上個月表示,分拆在第一天未能創造價值,並補充說Canal+的股東回報之路尚不明朗。

他們將Canal+股價的下跌歸因於財務指引未達到投資者的預期及缺乏股息。

分析師補充說,對於該廣播公司收購南非廣播公司MultiChoice的過程也存在一些不確定性,包括盈利路徑的明確性,這不會在交易完成之前得到解決。

「我們不清楚接下來會發生什麼,所以人們變得謹慎,」法國股票研究公司AlphaValue的分析師Jean-Michel Salvador表示。

分析師指出,由於Canal+在法國註冊,某些指數不適合該公司,因此一些股東已經拋售了他們在倫敦上市的Canal+的股份,或因為某些投資者被限制持有以英鎊交易的股票。

少數股東反對分拆計劃

一些少數股東反對分拆計劃,包括激進基金CIAM和Phitrust,認為這次分拆會剝奪像他們這樣的投資者在法國股市法律下的保護。

Bollore的控股公司擁有三家分拆實體超過30%的股份,根據法國規定,這需要對所有股份進行強制性收購,但這不適用於新實體。

Phitrust的聯合創始人Denis Branche表示,雖然需要幾個月才能獲得更清晰的圖景,但他認為現在規模較小的Vivendi控股公司無法修復其長期以來的綜合體折扣。

「市場(現在)將Vivendi視為一家金融控股公司,因此總會存在這種折扣,」他告訴路透社。

Vivendi及其監事會主席Yannick Bollore(Vincent Bollore之子)拒絕了激進股東的主張,認為分拆剝奪了少數股東的保護。Vivendi表示,該分拆得到了股東諮詢公司的支持。

上個月,巴克萊銀行表示,由於治理結構阻止董事會變更和惡意收購,Havas的交易價格低於同行,這成為一些投資者的障礙。

Arkea資產管理公司的基金經理Stéphane Le Gall告訴路透社,他正在等待這四家公司的重新估值,他相信當公司解釋各自的策略時,這一估值將會發生。

「讓我們耐心等候,Vivendi的星系是2025年的故事,而不是2024年12月的故事,」他說。他管理的基金目前已經保留了對不同實體的所有股份。

這篇報道反映了Vivendi分拆後的一系列挑戰,顯示出市場對新組織的信心不足。這不僅是因為缺乏清晰的戰略方向,也因為投資者對未來盈利能力的擔憂。隨著市場環境的變化,這些公司若無法迅速適應並清晰傳達其發展路線,可能會面臨更大的壓力。對於投資者而言,保持耐心並密切關注未來的財務報告和公司策略的明朗化將是關鍵。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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