S&P評級Strategy為「垃圾債券」,比特幣風險高

S&P 給予 Strategy B- 的「垃圾債券」評級,原因是比特幣集中度過高

S&P Global Ratings 表示,Michael Saylor 的 Strategy 公司的比特幣集中度高及美元流動性低等因素,構成了該公司的弱點。

S&P Global Ratings 最近對 Strategy 進行評估,給予其「B-」的信用評級,這使其進入了投機性非投資級別的範疇,通常被稱為「垃圾債券」。儘管如此,該評級機構表示,Strategy 的前景仍然穩定。

該信用評級平台在周一的評估中指出:「我們認為,Strategy 的比特幣集中度高、業務焦點狹窄、風險調整後的資本化薄弱以及美元流動性低都是其弱點。」Strategy 主要通過股權和債務融資累積了 640,808 BTC 的庫存。穩定的前景假設該公司將謹慎管理可轉換債務到期,並維持優先股股息,可能通過進一步的債務發行來實現。

S&P Global 強調,Strategy 面臨著「固有的貨幣不匹配」問題,所有債務均以美元計算,而其大部分美元儲備則用於資助其大約持平盈虧的軟件業務。

Strategy 與 Sky Protocol 同級

Strategy 的評級與去中心化穩定幣發行商 Sky Protocol(前身為 MakerDAO)在八月份獲得的評級相同。S&P Global 指出,Sky Protocol 的高存款人集中度、集中治理和薄弱資本化是其獲得 B- 評級的原因。

要想擺脫「垃圾債券」的範疇,Strategy 的評級需要提升六個級別,達到 BBB-。最新的評級恰逢 Strategy 成為 2024 年納斯達克表現最好的股票之一,股價上漲了 430%。然而,根據 Google Finance 的數據,該公司在 2025 年至今已回落 13%。

儘管如此,周一的股價上漲了 2.27%,顯示 S&P Global 的評級並未對該公司的股價造成傷害。

Strategy 必須提高美元流動性,減少對債務的依賴

雖然 S&P Global 表示在未來 12 個月內升級的可能性不大,但如果 Strategy 改善其美元流動性、減輕可轉換債務並持續展示強大的資本市場進入能力,則可能會提高評級。

然而,S&P Global 也指出,Strategy 的可轉換債務可能在「嚴重的比特幣壓力」時到期,迫使其在「低迷價格」下清算部分比特幣。如果其資本市場的進入能力減弱,Strategy 的評級也可能會進一步下降,影響其籌集資金和持續其比特幣策略的能力。

在當前的市場環境中,Strategy 的評級反映了比特幣專注型公司的風險,這也為傳統金融機構評估此類公司的信用風險提供了基準。這一事件不僅對 Strategy 本身有深遠影響,也可能促使其他類似公司重新評估其資本結構和業務模式,以應對未來的挑戰。

這一評級的發布,無疑會引起市場的廣泛關注,尤其是在比特幣市場仍然波動不定的背景下。企業如何在這樣的環境中找到平衡,將成為未來投資者關注的焦點。

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