Solana ETF終於推出：那麼為什麼SOL的交易價格還在200美元以下？
SOL的投資者對ETF的批准抱有期望，並將價格目標設定在300至1,000美元之間。儘管ETF已經上線，但Solana的價格仍然低於200美元。究竟是交易者在賣出消息？
市場分析
**關鍵點：**
* 儘管Solana ETF的每日交易量讓分析師印象深刻，SOL仍然被壓制在200美元以下。
* 分析師表示，SOL的價格走勢可能會模仿以太坊在現貨ETF推出後的滯後表現。
在九月期間，交易者和分析師對SOL的前景持高度樂觀態度，因為美國證券交易委員會（SEC）在10月10日的截止日期引發了對現貨ETF批准的期待，加上比特幣和以太坊ETF的出色表現，促使市場提前進行布局。
當時的數據顯示，各類投資者紛紛進入SOL的期貨和現貨持倉，但美國政府的停擺使得這一截止日期變得不確定，而10月10日的加密市場大幅清算事件將該替代幣的價格壓低至147美元。
現在市場上新推出了兩個SOL ETF。本週三，Grayscale Investments推出了其支持質押的Solana現貨ETF（GSOL），而Bitwise Solana Staking ETF（BSOL）則在週二正式上線。據Cointelegraph報導，BSOL在推出時擁有2.22億美元的資產，並在交易的第二天達到7200萬美元的交易量。
在美國政府停擺和10月10日的拋售之前，分析師預測Solana ETF的批准和成功推出將會引發SOL價格的漲勢，預期價格範圍在300至600美元之間，但目前該替代幣的交易價格仍低於200美元。
關於目前的情況，以及SOL交易是否已經成為賣出消息的結果，Hyblock的分析師表示：
> “比特幣的ETF推出和價格也有類似的關係。在推出時，比特幣價格趨於平穩並下跌（約-5%），儘管資金流入不斷增加。最終，資金流入激增，標誌著比特幣價格的底部。SOL ETF可能正在經歷類似的循環，隨著初始興奮的消退。”
分析師補充道，這週的「FOMC時機」對市場並不利，因為許多參與者（特別是通過ETF購買的機構）可能在會議前進行風險降低。我們不認為這是一個紅旗；這是高調事件的預期行為。
目前的數據顯示，賣方主導了SOL的價格走勢，訂單簿顯示188至185美元的支撐位以及204和207美元的阻力位。
我的觀察
這次Solana ETF的推出本應是市場的一個催化劑，但實際情況卻顯示出市場情緒的複雜性。投資者的過度樂觀可能在政府停擺和市場波動的影響下受到打擊，導致他們在消息釋出後選擇獲利了結。這反映了加密市場的脆弱性，以及投資者對於即將到來的經濟政策會議的擔憂。
未來，SOL的價格能否突破200美元的關鍵在於市場情緒的恢復和資金流入的增長。若ETF的表現持續良好，或許能重新點燃投資者的信心，推動SOL價格回升。這也提醒我們，在高波動的市場中，投資者需要保持靈活和謹慎，隨時調整策略以應對不確定性。
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Gallery
Gallery
![{
"intro": "Create an ultra realistic 8K UHD DSLR photo based on the attached image as a reference of facial features, maintaining 100% likeness.",
"subject": {
"identity": "A stylish beautiful woman portrayed as Cleopatra performing a sacred night-time royal dance, embodying divine seduction, power, and celestial authority.",
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"pose": {
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"movement": "Her arms are raised in slow ceremonial motion while one leg steps forward, fully revealing her feet and lower legs as part of the ritual stance.",
"expression": "A calm, hypnotic, commanding gaze directed toward the camera—quiet dominance wrapped in sensual mystery."
}
},
"appearance": {
"outfit": "An ultra-bongga Cleopatra couture gown with an all-crystal bodice that fits like jeweled armor. Thousands of hand-set crystals, diamonds, and glass stones in gold, champagne, clear, and iridescent tones form sacred Egyptian motifs—cobras, sun disks, lotus symbols—entirely through crystal placement. The neckline is daring yet elegant, supported by invisible illusion mesh. From the waist, the skirt opens into flowing sheer silk and organza panels in ivory and soft gold, designed with a high front opening that intentionally exposes her legs and feet during movement. Crystal chains and beaded fringe sway rhythmically with every step, enhancing sensual motion.",
"accessories": "A dramatic Egyptian ceremonial headpiece with gold and crystal detailing, an oversized layered gold collar necklace, sculpted crystal arm cuffs, finger armor rings, a crystal-and-gold waist belt, and delicate gold anklets accentuating her bare feet.",
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"props": {
"ritual_elements": [
"Burning incense bowls releasing thick aromatic smoke",
"Golden sistrum placed near the dance space",
"Tall ceremonial torches lining the temple floor"
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},
"background": {
"macro_environment": "A grand ancient Egyptian temple courtyard at night, reserved for sacred royal rituals.",
"midground_details": "Towering sandstone columns, massive statues of Isis and Hathor, carved temple walls, flowing linen drapes, and ceremonial platforms illuminated by firelight.",
"micro_elements": "Torch flames reflecting off crystal surfaces, fine dust particles glowing in the night air, incense smoke wrapping around her legs and feet, detailed stone floor textures beneath her bare feet, crystal fringe in motion, and sharply defined shadows—everything rendered in extreme detail with zero blur."
},
"lighting": {
"type": "Cinematic night lighting using torches, oil lamps, and subtle moonlight.",
"effect": "Firelight ignites the crystal bodice with prismatic sparkle while moonlight softly outlines her legs and feet, creating a dramatic, sensual, and divine atmosphere."
},
"camera": {
"camera_type": "DSLR",
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"lens": "50mm prime lens",
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"focus": "Extreme sharp focus on crystal bodice, facial features, legs, feet, and temple details, no bokeh, no blur"
},
"style": "Ultra high-fashion editorial, night temple ritual, all-crystal couture, sexy yet sacred, ancient Egyptian royalty reimagined, cinematic realism, extremely detailed, sharp, iconic"
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Gallery
