Solana ETF上線,但SOL為何仍低於200美元?

Solana ETF終於推出:為何SOL的交易價格仍未突破$200?

SOL的投資者對ETF的批准抱有信心,並設立了從$300到$1,000的價格目標。儘管ETF已經上線,Solana的價格仍然低於$200。難道交易者已經提前賣出消息?

市場分析

**要點:**

* 即使Solana ETF的日交易量令分析師印象深刻,SOL的價格仍然被壓制在$200以下。
* 分析師表示,SOL的價格走勢可能會類似於以太坊(ETH)在以太坊現貨ETF推出後的表現。

在九月份,交易者和分析師對SOL持樂觀態度,因為美國證券交易委員會(SEC)在10月10日的現貨ETF批准截止日期引發了市場的期待,加上比特幣(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)ETF的優異表現,促使他們提前布局。

當時的數據顯示,各類投資者紛紛進入SOL的期貨和現貨持有,但美國政府的關閉使截止日期變得不確定,而在10月10日的加密貨幣市場大幅清算事件中,某些交易所的價格甚至跌至$147。

現在,市場上已經有兩個新的SOL ETF本週開始交易。Grayscale Investments於星期三推出了其支持質押的Solana現貨ETF(GSOL),而Bitwise Solana Staking ETF(BSOL)則在星期二上線。Cointelegraph報導,BSOL在推出時擁有$2.22億的資產,並在第二天的交易中達到$7200萬的交易量。

在美國政府關閉和10月10日的拋售之前,分析師預測Solana ETF的批准和成功推出將會引發SOL價格的反彈,預計會漲至$300至$600的範圍,但目前這一數字仍低於$200。

當被問及目前的情況以及SOL交易是否已經成為賣出消息的結果時,Hyblock的分析師表示:

> “比特幣的ETF推出和比特幣價格之間也有類似的關係。儘管資金流入增長,但比特幣價格在推出後仍然趨於平穩和下跌(約-5%)。最終,資金流入大幅增加,標誌著比特幣價格的底部。SOL ETF可能正在經歷類似的循環,因為最初的興奮感逐漸消退。”

分析師補充道,本週的“FOMC時機”並不利於市場,因為許多參與者(尤其是通過ETF進行購買的機構)可能會在會議前進行風險管理。我們不認為這是一個紅旗;這是對於這類高調事件的預期行為。

目前的數據顯示,賣方主導了SOL的價格走勢,訂單簿顯示支撐位在$188至$185之間,而阻力位則在$204和$207。

評論與分析

這篇文章揭示了Solana ETF推出後市場反應的複雜性。儘管ETF的推出本應帶來價格的上漲,但事實卻是市場情緒的變化和外部因素(如政府關閉和市場清算)對價格的影響更為顯著。這提醒我們,在投資時,不僅要關注事件本身,還需考慮市場的整體環境和心理。

未來,隨著市場情緒的恢復和資金流入的增加,SOL的價格是否能夠突破$200,將成為投資者關注的焦點。這也反映出加密貨幣市場的波動性和不確定性,投資者需謹慎行事,做好風險管理。

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