Salesforce股價急跌 AI收入回報遲到風險增




Salesforce股價下跌,疲弱收入預測顯示AI回報延遲

美國雲端軟件巨頭Salesforce於周四開盤前股價大跌近7%,原因是該公司第三季度收入預測疲弱,暗示其人工智能(AI)投資的回報將延遲出現。

隨着投資者對AI驅動的雲端企業寄予厚望,這些公司面臨着必須在數十億美元的AI技術投資中帶來豐厚回報的壓力。然而,經濟不確定性令客戶減少開支,拖慢了收益增長。

Salesforce積極將AI技術應用於其雲服務中。2024年底,公司推出了Agentforce,一個AI代理平台,旨在自動化任務、簡化運營流程及提升利潤率。

該公司預計第三季度收入介乎102.4億至102.9億美元,預測中值略低於分析師平均預期的102.9億美元(數據來自LSEG)。同時,Salesforce宣布將現有股票回購計劃額外增加200億美元,但這並未能提振投資者對疲弱收入前景的信心。

摩根大通分析師指出:「增長尚未出現轉折,投資者因此未見迫切需要修正其投資判斷。」

今年迄今,Salesforce股價已下跌約24%,公司轉向積極收購以擴充產品線和提升盈利能力。5月時,Salesforce斥資約80億美元收購數據管理平台Informatica。

目前,Salesforce的股價對未來12個月預測市盈率約為20.98倍,相比競爭對手微軟(31.26倍)和甲骨文(30.84倍)明顯較低。

儘管如此,Salesforce第二季度收入超出預期,且估值相對便宜,部分分析師認為公司仍有成長空間。摩根大通表示:「第二季度業績及公司樂觀評論足以支撐現階段,考慮到CRM股價正交易於歷史低估值水平,且相對軟件同業大幅折讓。」

評論與啟示

Salesforce作為企業軟件和雲端服務的龍頭之一,其AI戰略備受市場關注。此次收入預測不及預期,反映出即使是行業巨頭,也不能免於經濟環境變化和技術商業化進程中的挑戰。AI雖然被視為未來增長的關鍵,但短期內帶來的經濟效益往往不如預期迅速顯現,這使投資者對AI回報的耐心和信心受到考驗。

值得注意的是,Salesforce在AI領域的積極佈局,例如Agentforce平台,顯示其企圖利用AI提升企業運營效率和利潤率,這與純粹的技術創新不同,更注重商業落地和價值變現。然而,客戶因經濟不確定性而緊縮開支,短期內限制了這些創新帶來的收入增長。

此外,Salesforce透過大規模收購補充自身產品組合,試圖彌補增長動力不足的問題,這種策略反映出大型科技公司在面對市場波動時的應對模式:不單靠內生增長,而是通過併購加速布局和擴大市場份額。

對香港及全球投資者而言,這是一個提醒:AI及新技術投資雖前景光明,但短期內波動和不確定性不可忽視。投資者應該平衡長期技術趨勢與短期經濟現實,理性評估企業的盈利能力和估值水平,避免被市場熱潮蒙蔽判斷。

總括而言,Salesforce的案例顯示,AI投資的價值轉化需要時間,企業的財務健康和策略靈活性同樣重要。市場對AI的期待需與實際業績同步,才能避免股價劇烈波動和投資者信心受損。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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