Nvidia Q1業績前瞻:買唔買NVDA股?




英偉達第一季度業績在即:是否該在5月28日前買入NVDA股票?

Amit Singh – Barchart 1小時前

英偉達(NVDA)即將於5月28日公佈其2026財年第一季度的業績報告,近期投資者對該股票的興趣再度高漲。在2025年表現相對平淡之後,NVDA股票在過去一個月內上漲了20.7%,主要受惠於中美貿易關係的積極發展。兩國之間的大部分關稅暫時停止實施,緩解了全球經濟放緩的擔憂,推動了市場的全面復蘇,也帶動了英偉達股票的上漲。

展望第一季度,英偉達有望保持穩固的收入增長,特別是在數據中心部門表現強勁。雖然英偉達將繼續受益於穩固的需求,但新的美國出口限制可能會影響其H20芯片對華出口,進而影響未來幾個季度的收入增長。

值得注意的是,英偉達的競爭對手AMD(Advanced Micro Devices)也承認出口管制對其業務的影響,預計2025年收入將受到15億美元的衝擊。

儘管面臨這些挑戰,英偉達的前景仍然穩固,主要受其在人工智能基礎設施方面的持續投資推動。同時,國家級人工智能機會可能有助於抵消新出口管制帶來的負面影響。讓我們更密切地關注華爾街對英偉達第一季度業績的預期。

英偉達:第一季度預期

英偉達有望交出一份令人滿意的季度成績單,因為對其圖形處理器(GPU)的需求持續旺盛,主要受人工智能基礎設施和解決方案的持續投資推動。隨著數據中心、遊戲和汽車等關鍵業務的增長,該公司的第一季度收入將 likely 顯示出顯著的增長,同比和環比均有所增長。

對於第一季度,英偉達管理層預計收入將達到430億美元,同比增長65%,環比增長9%。這一增長將得益於英偉達最新的人工智能平台Blackwell的快速擴展。在上一季度,Blackwell的收入已達到11億美元,隨著生產的增加和客戶的採用,Blackwell正在獲得關注。憑藉Hopper 200架構的持續強勁表現,英偉達的數據中心業務 likely 將再次交出優秀的成績單。

英偉達股票

數據中心部門是英偉達業務的支柱,預計將繼續成為重要的增長引擎。在2025財年第四季度,該部門的計算收入環比增長18%,同比增長超過一倍。這一趨勢很可能在未來持續,因為人工智能基礎設施的支出沒有放緩的跡象。同時,英偉達的網絡產品將受益於對Spectrum-X和NVLink Switch的需求增長。

除了數據中心部門,英偉達的遊戲部門也預計將實現環比增長,表明消費者對其GPU的需求仍然健康。此外,英偉達的汽車部門保持強勁,推動因素是自動駕駛技術在乘用車和無人出租車中的持續擴展。

雖然英偉達的毛利率可能會因產品組合而面臨一些壓力,但該公司激增的收入很可能將推動強勁的盈利能力。分析師預計英偉達第一季度的每股收益將達到0.80美元,同比增長37.9%,而去年同期為0.58美元。英偉達也有著良好的歷史記錄,曾在過去四個季度中超越市場預期。在最近的業績發布中,該公司每股收益超出了市場預期7.6%。

結論

英偉達似乎有望在第一季度延續其增長軌跡。數據中心、遊戲和汽車等關鍵部門的強勁需求,以及下一代人工智能平台的快速採用,支持了樂觀的前景。雖然出口限制等短期挑戰可能會帶來一些困難,但英偉達在人工智能生態系統中的領導地位和持續的創新使其處於有利的長期地位。

分析師對英偉達的前景仍然充滿信心,基於其穩固的基本面和歷史上超出市場預期的表現。華爾街對NVDA股票給出了“強烈買入”的共識評級,表明該股票對長期投資者來說是一個有吸引力的選擇,特別是在5月28日的業績報告發布之前。

作為編輯,我認為英偉達的強勁表現主要歸功於其在人工智能領域的領先地位和持續創新。儘管面臨出口限制等挑戰,但該公司在數據中心、遊戲和汽車等部門的強勁需求將繼續推動其增長。同時,國家級人工智能機會可能有助於抵消新出口管制帶來的負面影響。投資者可以關注英偉達的第一季度業績報告,以獲取更多關於該公司未來前景的信息。

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