Nvidia、微軟加注Anthropic惹AI泡沫憂慮

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Anthropic與Nvidia及Microsoft合作引發AI「循環性」憂慮

Anthropic估值於星期二升至3,500億美元,原因是Microsoft和Nvidia宣布向這家人工智能初創企業投資,這是美國科技巨頭之間最新的合作協議。Anthropic開發的聊天機械人Claude深受歡迎,而該公司亦承諾投入300億美元使用Microsoft的雲端服務,作為Microsoft努力降低對OpenAI依賴的一部分。

這類數以億計美元計的AI交易正變得越來越普遍。正如彭博社記者Joe Weisenthal所言:「這些宣佈已經不像以前那麼令人震驚了。」然而,這些交易也呈現出一種「循環性」:企業實際上是在資助自己的客戶,令市場擔心這可能是泡沫。

高盛的一位策略師在最近的播客中質疑,這是否「最終只是一座相互支撐的紙牌屋」,大家都在互相撐起對方。

評論與分析

Anthropic與Nvidia及Microsoft的合作,表面看來是科技巨頭間的互助共贏,卻同時揭示了當前AI產業鏈中潛在的結構性風險。這種「循環性」資金流動,實際上可能加劇市場的過熱與泡沫風險,因為資金在有限的幾家巨頭之間反覆流轉,缺乏真正的外部資金注入和市場多元化。

對香港及全球投資者來說,這提醒我們在追逐AI熱潮時必須保持警覺,不應單純被高估值和巨額投資數字所迷惑。長遠而言,AI技術的可持續發展和市場健康,依賴於真正的技術創新和廣泛應用,而非資本圈內的資金互助。

此外,Microsoft試圖減少對OpenAI的依賴,轉而加碼Anthropic,說明科技巨頭正在積極布局多元AI策略,避免技術和服務過度集中於單一供應商,這在競爭和風險管理層面是值得肯定的。然而,這同時也可能加劇產業內的複雜利益糾葛,監管機構和市場參與者需密切留意其發展動向。

總括而言,這個案例不僅是AI行業資本運作的縮影,更是提醒我們,技術革命背後的資本遊戲同樣需要智慧與謹慎,避免成為下一個金融泡沫的溫床。

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