HSBC降級Autodesk:盈利成長放緩解析




HSBC下調Autodesk評級,因盈利增長放緩及估值擔憂

Investing.com報導,HSBC將Autodesk Inc(NASDAQ:ADSK)的評級從“買入”下調至“持有”,因其預期盈利增長將放緩,並對其相對於同行Dassault Systèmes的估值表示擔憂。該行還將Autodesk的目標股價下調了9美元,至290美元。

HSBC指出,Autodesk的估值已達到高位,預計2025年的收益倍數為35.1倍,而行業中位數為30倍。相比之下,Dassault Systèmes的收益倍數為23.5倍,儘管兩者的增長前景相當,但Dassault的利潤率明顯更佳。

儘管Autodesk第三季度的業績略微超出華爾街的預期,但卻未能滿足HSBC的預測。該公司報告其收入增長11%,達到15.7億美元,與市場共識預期的15.64億美元相當,但低於HSBC預估的15.91億美元。經調整的營業利潤率同比下降了2.19%,至36.5%,主要受到Autodesk大學活動時間差的影響。

該公司已上調全年指引,預計2025財年的收入為61.23億美元,每股調整收益為8.32美元,與市場共識預期一致。

HSBC還提到,Autodesk對股權補償的依賴較重,這項支出占其收入的11.2%,而Dassault僅為3.8%。這一點也影響了HSBC的看法。報告中指出:“如果將股權補償視為支出,Dassault Systèmes的利潤率顯著更高。”

HSBC的目標股價暗示Autodesk的股價有8.8%的下行空間。

這一評級下調反映了市場對Autodesk未來增長的擔憂,特別是在其業務模式中,對股權補償的過度依賴可能會影響其長期穩定性。在當前經濟環境中,投資者對高估值的公司愈發謹慎,Autodesk可能需要重新評估其業務策略,以應對市場的挑戰和競爭壓力。

在未來,Autodesk若希望重新獲得投資者的信任,必須展示出更為穩定的盈利增長和改善的利潤率,否則將在激烈的市場競爭中面臨更大的壓力。

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