HSBC對股票持樂觀態度,展望2025年




HSBC對股票和風險資產持樂觀態度,即使選後反彈停滯

根據Investing.com的報導,HSBC表示,儘管風險資產的選後反彈最近出現停滯,加上美國股票市場的廣度減弱,但這並不意味著市場普遍疲弱。該行對2025年持正面展望。

HSBC指出,支持市場的因素包括短期內的盈利預期較低、增長預測上升、選舉不確定性減少,以及聯邦儲備局可能逐步降息的前景。它還提到,近期修訂顯示美國可支配收入上升,以及2025年初可能出現的去通脹情況。

儘管一些投資者對高估值和普遍的樂觀情緒表示擔憂,HSBC卻不以為然,認為估值只是戰術工具,並表示其情緒指標尚未對風險資產發出警告。

不過,HSBC警告,美國國債收益率上升仍然是其「黃金時期」展望的主要風險。如果聯邦儲備局採取鷹派立場,可能會將市場推入危險區域,大多數資產類別將面臨困難。

HSBC補充道:「不過,值得慶幸的是,自美國選舉以來,股票的下行保護成本已大幅降低,特別是在與美國國債收益率和/或美元指數(DXY)上升的條件下。」這表明,與收益率上升或美元強勢相關的對沖機會正在增加。

這篇報導顯示,HSBC的樂觀態度基於多重支撐因素,但市場的風險依然存在。特別是美國國債收益率的上升,將成為未來市場走勢的關鍵指標。投資者在面對這樣的情況時,應該謹慎評估自己的投資策略,尤其是在當前經濟環境不確定性依然存在的情況下。

在此背景下,投資者應考慮如何利用HSBC所提到的對沖機會,以減輕可能的損失。隨著市場的不斷變化,靈活調整投資組合,並保持對市場動態的敏感性,將是成功的關鍵。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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