Google Finance 新增預測市場數據功能




Google Finance新增預測市場數據,AI驅動更新

Google最近宣布,將在其搜尋結果中整合來自Kalshi和Polymarket的預測市場數據,這是其AI驅動升級的一部分,讓用戶能夠在平台上直接查看未來市場事件的實時概率。

根據周四的公告,這項預測市場數據將在接下來幾周內推出,讓用戶可以透過在Google搜尋欄中直接輸入問題來查看市場賠率,並追蹤預測隨時間的變化。

這項功能是Google Finance的AI升級的一部分,Google Finance是一個免費的網上服務,提供實時金融市場數據。此次升級還引入了基於其Gemini模型的深度搜尋功能,以及新的即時收益特徵。

Polymarket成立於2020年,是一個基於Polygon區塊鏈的去中心化預測平台,用戶可以在上面交易現實世界事件。而Kalshi成立於2018年,是一個受美國商品期貨交易委員會(CFTC)監管的交易所,提供傳統金融系統內的事件合約。

這兩個平台允許用戶對各種事件進行投注,從體育和政治結果到一些不尋常的問題,例如「特朗普會在2027年前解密UFO檔案嗎?」或「Zohran Mamdani明年會凍結紐約的租金嗎?」

預測市場的整合

Google並不是唯一一家將預測市場整合到其平台的公司。

在三月,Robinhood在其應用程式內推出了一個預測市場中心,通過KalshiEX LLC在美國範圍內提供服務。根據彭博社的報導,該公司在9月30日與英國金融行為監管局(FCA)進行了討論,以確定如何在英國推出類似產品。

此外,MetaMask在十月宣布了與Polymarket的整合計劃,這一舉措符合該公司從加密錢包擴展到「民主化金融」門戶的目標。同月,Sam Altman的World項目推出的數字錢包和身份平台World App也整合了Polymarket應用,讓合規地區的用戶能夠訪問鏈上預測市場。

根據彭博社的另一份報導,加密貨幣交易所Gemini也正計劃進入預測市場領域。

這一系列動作顯示出預測市場的潛力和需求正在不斷增長,越來越多的科技巨頭和金融機構開始重視這一領域。隨著預測市場的普及,未來可能會出現更多創新的應用場景,這不僅能改變投資者的行為模式,也可能影響政策制定和社會輿論的形成。

整體來看,這項技術的進步不僅是金融科技的一次革新,也是對未來市場動態的一次預測,將為用戶提供更豐富的數據支持和決策依據。

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