DAT泡沫已破?CoinShares如是說

DAT泡沫是否已經破裂?CoinShares表示在許多方面是的。

數字資產財庫的泡沫已經減弱,曾經以高溢價交易的部分公司已回落至淨資產價值附近。

根據數字資產管理公司CoinShares的報告,數字資產財庫(DAT)泡沫已經大部分破裂,部分公司在2025年夏季以其市場淨資產價值(mNAV)的3到10倍交易,現在已回落至約1倍或更低,這對曾經將代幣財庫視為增長引擎的交易來說是一個急劇的重置。

CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill在周四的博客中表示,接下來的走勢取決於市場行為:價格下跌可能引發無序拋售,或者公司持有其資產,等待反彈。他傾向於後者,因為宏觀經濟背景有所改善,並且可能在12月進行利率減少,這可能會支持加密貨幣市場。

mNAV是將公司的企業價值(EV)與其比特幣持有的市場價值進行比較。作為最大的比特幣企業持有者,Strategy目前的mNAV約為1.13。

根據Butterfill的說法,面臨的更大挑戰是結構性問題。投資者對於在沒有實際運營收入的情況下,對稀釋和單一資產集中度的容忍度正在減弱,因為許多公司利用公開市場建立了過大的財庫,但卻未能建立持久的業務,這損害了其可信度。

報告指出,已有早期跡象顯示,較強的公司正在以紀律性財庫和外匯管理的方式增加比特幣持有量。

Butterfill認為,DAT的概念並非已死,而是正在重新分類,投資者可能會更清晰地劃分投機性財庫包裝、紀律性財庫策略、代幣投資工具和戰略性企業之間的界限。

下一代將需要基本面、可信的業務、更緊密的治理和現實的期望,數字資產應作為工具,而不是整個故事。

這篇報告引發了對數字資產財庫未來的思考。隨著市場的變化,企業需要重新評估其財務策略,確保不僅僅依賴於加密貨幣的價格波動,而是建立可持續的商業模式。這不僅是對投資者的警示,也是對整個行業的反思。我們或許可以期待,未來的數字資產管理將更加理性和負責任,並且在治理和透明度上有所提升。

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