Cathie Wood下調比特幣預測300K美元，稱穩定幣侵蝕市場份額
ARK Invest的Cathie Wood近日表示，她已將長期比特幣價格預測下調300,000美元，並警告穩定幣正在侵蝕比特幣在新興市場作為價值儲存工具的角色。
她在周四接受CNBC訪問時指出：“穩定幣正在取代我們認為比特幣會扮演的部分角色。” Wood曾預測到2030年比特幣價格會達到150萬美元，但現在她認為，“考慮到穩定幣的發展，它們在新興市場中的作用超出了我們的預期，我想我們可以將這個樂觀的預測下調300,000美元，僅僅是因為穩定幣的影響。”
她補充道：“穩定幣的增長速度比任何人預期的都要快。”
新興市場經濟體轉向穩定幣
根據國際銀行渣打銀行的預測，到2028年，美金掛鉤的穩定幣可能會從新興市場的傳統銀行系統中抽走超過1兆美元的資金。這種情況在遭受超通脹、制裁或貨幣管制的地區尤為明顯，例如委內瑞拉和阿根廷，迫使居民尋求以美金等其他法定貨幣來保護他們的購買力。
根據國際貨幣基金組織的數據，委內瑞拉的年通脹率在2025年已飆升至269%，這使得數百萬居民轉向以美金掛鉤的穩定幣，如Tether的USDt，作為儲蓄工具。委內瑞拉的嚴格貨幣管制和雙層貨幣匯率體系使得穩定幣成為一個可靠的替代選擇。
在2024年，有報導指出，委內瑞拉政府正在利用穩定幣來繞過美國的制裁，促進國際石油交易。
評論
Cathie Wood的預測調整不僅反映了市場的變化，也揭示了穩定幣在當前經濟環境中的重要性。隨著全球經濟的不確定性增加，穩定幣的快速增長顯示出人們對於傳統金融系統的不信任，尤其是在經濟動盪的地區。這一現象可能會對比特幣的價值儲存角色產生長期影響。
此外，這也引發了對於如何平衡穩定幣和比特幣之間的關係的思考。穩定幣的崛起是否意味著比特幣的價值會受到削弱，還是它們可以共存並各自發揮不同的作用？未來的市場動態將會是值得關注的焦點。
以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。
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