AI 將推動美股持續上升,BlackRock 預測未來一年動態




AI 將繼續推動美國股票在明年增長,黑石集團表示

根據黑石集團(BlackRock)最新的報告,人工智能(AI)的持續增長將繼續推動美國股票的表現,並對未來一年的經濟增長作出貢獻。不過,美國政府債務的上升可能對其樂觀的2025年預測構成風險。

黑石集團的研究部門表示,隨著AI技術的進步,美國股票相比於歐洲市場將獲得更大的好處。該公司也預期私營市場將在AI相關基礎設施的資金籌集中發揮越來越重要的角色。

該研究機構在其2025年展望中寫道:「我們保持風險偏好,並進一步加碼美國股票,隨著AI主題的擴展。」這一展望反映了黑石集團高級投資經理和投資領導人的見解。

儘管黑石集團預計美國經濟在2025年可能會略微放緩,但他們認為聯邦儲備局不太可能大幅降低利率,因為通脹依然高企。預計利率將不會降至4%以下,仍將保持在目前的4.5%至4.75%的範圍內。

來自地緣政治緊張局勢和基礎設施開支的價格壓力也可能對債券市場造成負面影響。

該機構預計,考慮到通脹和龐大的美國預算赤字,投資者將要求更高的回報來持有長期政府債券。這可能會推高長期國債收益率,因為收益率與債券價格呈反向關係。

報告指出:「我們在戰術和戰略層面上均低配長期美國國債,並認為長期債券收益率的任何激增都會對我們的樂觀預期構成風險。」

在股票市場方面,黑石集團偏好科技和醫療健康等行業。它還將黃金和比特幣視為政府債券的替代品,提供對股票市場波動的潛在保護。

這份報告不僅強調了AI對經濟的潛在推動力,也指出了隨之而來的風險,特別是在利率和債務方面。這種雙重性反映了當前市場的複雜性,投資者需要在抓住機會的同時,保持對風險的高度警惕。

這份報告有助於投資者理解未來市場的動向,尤其是在AI技術快速發展的背景下,如何制定更有效的投資策略。隨著科技的進步,傳統行業和新興市場之間的界限逐漸模糊,未來的投資機會將越來越多樣化,但同時,投資者也需密切關注市場的變化,以便及時調整策略。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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