伊朗封鎖霍爾木茲海峽將影響比特幣價格!

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封閉霍爾木茲海峽是本週末比特幣價格的最大風險 — 分析師

如果伊朗封閉霍爾木茲海峽,這條供應全球20%石油貿易的狹窄水道,風險資產將遭受重大打擊。

比特幣的價格持續堅韌,儘管最近以色列對伊朗的空襲,但根據Coin Bureau的創始人及市場分析師Nic Puckrin的說法,如果伊朗封閉霍爾木茲海峽,則短期內可能會出現劇烈的價格修正,這將影響所有風險資產。

Puckrin在週五表示,比特幣的短期價格走勢「取決於今天及週末的局勢發展」,他補充道:

> 「最大的風險是如果伊朗封閉霍爾木茲海峽,這裡運送著近20%的全球石油供應。如果發生這種情況,油價將會大幅上漲,而風險資產將會暴跌。如果這在週末發生,這個24/7運行的市場——加密貨幣市場——將再次受到影響。」

然而,Puckrin強調,比特幣的長期價格前景受地緣政治影響較小,更多地與美國美元的貶值相關,美元剛剛創下三年來的最低水平——這暗示著這種供應受限的資產在長期內有上升的潛力。

長期比特幣持有者在不確定的宏觀經濟環境中持續累積

根據CryptoQuant分析師Burak Kesmeci的說法,儘管宏觀經濟不確定性和地緣政治緊張局勢上升,長期比特幣持有者仍在持續累積比特幣。

Kesmeci表示,定義為從未出售過任何一個聰(Satoshi)並在過去七年內活躍的累積地址,於6月11日錄得了30,784個比特幣的流入,這相當於約33億美元,是2025年以來的最高日流入量。

「在這次激增之後,累積地址持有的比特幣總量達到291萬個。它們的平均進入價格現在約為64,000美元。」Kesmeci寫道。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。

這篇報道反映了當前市場的脆弱性,尤其是當地緣政治因素影響全球經濟時。隨著持有者的持續累積,我們可以看到市場對比特幣的信心,儘管面臨不確定性。這也提醒我們,比特幣作為一種資產類別,正在逐漸成熟,並可能成為未來投資組合中不可或缺的一部分。隨著全球經濟的變化,投資者需要更加謹慎地考慮其風險和潛在的回報。

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