歐股平穩中美達協議 美通脹數據成焦點




歐洲股市維持窄幅波動 投資者關注中美貿易談判結果及美國通脹數據

周三歐洲股市在窄幅區間內波動,投資者正消化中美貿易談判的最新進展,同時等待即將公佈的重要美國通脹數據。當地時間03:05(格林威治時間07:05),德國DAX指數微跌0.1%,法國CAC 40指數上升0.2%,英國FTSE 100指數亦微升0.2%。

中美貿易框架談判取得初步共識

美國與中國官員於倫敦進行了兩天密集談判,雙方達成一項高層框架協議,旨在重啟日內瓦停火協議,並解決出口管制的爭議。該框架計劃中,中國將放寬對稀土礦產的出口限制,美國則會放寬部分出口限制,特別是針對半導體的管控。不過,具體細節仍未公開,協議尚待美國總統特朗普與中國國家主席習近平的正式批准。

此外,目前尚不清楚這項停火協議能否比上一次持續更長時間,貿易戰再度爆發的風險依然存在。

美國消費者物價指數及英國財政預算成焦點

周三歐洲經濟數據較為稀少,但英國投資者將密切關注財政大臣Rachel Reeves稍後發表的最新財政支出評估,該評估將公布未來數年英國政府各部門的預算安排。

不過,市場焦點主要集中在美國即將公佈的5月消費者物價指數(CPI)。由於特朗普政府實施的關稅政策可能加劇滯脹憂慮,投資者十分關注通脹數據的走勢。市場預期當月整體CPI將上升0.2%,核心CPI(剔除食品和能源價格)則預計上升0.3%;年率方面,整體CPI料為2.5%,核心CPI則為2.9%。分析人士特別關注關稅是否已經反映在商品價格中,預計其影響可能要到六月才會更明顯。

聯儲局下周普遍被預期將維持利率不變,主要因為關稅帶來的不確定性,但若通脹數據出現意外走高,可能改變美聯儲未來的加息路徑。

Inditex夏季銷售起步緩慢

企業方面,快時尚巨頭Inditex公佈第一季度銷售未達市場預期,且夏季銷售啟動較慢,成為焦點。由於關稅引發的通脹及經濟放緩擔憂已經打擊美國及其他地區消費者的購物意欲。Inditex在聲明中稱其業績「穩健」,但較3月發布的「非常強勁」表述有所降溫。

油價在貿易談判後持穩

油價周三保持穩定,投資者消化中美貿易談判的結果及美國原油庫存數據。截至03:05,布蘭特原油期貨微跌0.1%,報每桶66.81美元,美國西德克薩斯中質原油期貨微升0.1%,報每桶64.99美元。兩者均在前一交易日創下自四月以來的最高價。

中美貿易協議的前景緩解了市場對需求下降的擔憂,預期貿易順暢將刺激全球經濟活動及原油需求。美國能源信息署稍後將公布最新每週原油庫存報告,緊隨美國石油協會報告上周原油庫存減少37萬桶的數據。

Inditex:這位常青股是否面臨新挑戰?

2024年估值飆升,令不少投資者對加碼股票心存疑慮。雖然市場總有機會,但尋找優質標的比一年前更為艱難。想發掘高潛力股票,不妨參考今年表現最好的投資組合。ProPicks AI從Investing.com提供的6個模擬組合中,篩選出9隻今年已漲超過25%的被低估股票。這些新入選的股票或將在未來幾年帶來豐厚回報。Inditex是否其中之一?值得關注。

評論與啟示

這篇報道揭示了當前全球經濟與金融市場的多重不確定性,尤其是中美貿易談判的微妙進展與美國通脹數據的即將發布。中美雙方雖然達成初步框架,但細節未明且未獲最高領導人確認,實際能否穩定雙邊關係仍存疑。這種「暫時停火」的局面,反映了國際政治經濟博弈的複雜性與脆弱性,提醒投資者不宜過度樂觀。

另一方面,美國通脹數據將是未來貨幣政策走向的重要參考。若通脹持續上升,聯儲局可能被迫加快收緊政策,這將對股市及債市帶來壓力。英國財政支出的動向也值得關注,因其將影響英鎊及英國經濟前景。

Inditex業績不及預期,折射出全球消費者信心受壓,尤其是在關稅和經濟放緩的背景下,零售業面臨挑戰。這亦提示投資者需警惕看似穩健的企業可能受到宏觀經濟環境變化的影響。

油價方面,雖然短期因貿易談判利好而企穩,但全球經濟前景仍存在不確定,油市供需平衡可能隨時變化。投資者應保持謹慎,關注後續數據。

總體而言,當前市場呈現多重交織的風險與機遇,投資者需密切跟蹤國際政治經濟動態,靈活調整策略。Inditex等企業的經營表現則提醒我們,即使在大環境向好預期下,個別行業與企業的挑戰依然存在,分散投資與風險管理尤為重要。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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