歐股受貿易談判提振上漲,殼牌財報亮眼




歐洲股市受中美貿易談判希望推動強勁上揚

歐洲股市周五表現強勁,主要受惠於市場對中美貿易談判的樂觀預期,同時投資者正消化一連串企業財報。當地時間上午4:10(格林威治標準時間8:10),德國DAX指數上升1.5%,法國CAC 40指數漲1.3%,英國FTSE 100指數上升0.9%。

由於五一勞動節假期,大部分歐洲市場周四休市。

貿易談判前景提振市場情緒

周五市場情緒獲得提振,中國商務部表示北京方面正在「評估」美國提出的就美國總統特朗普徵收高額關稅展開談判的建議。這些關稅引發了兩大經濟體之間的貿易戰。

中國強調,美方需展現「誠意」,並應準備取消單方面徵收的關稅。

貿易談判的可能性緩解了投資者對全球經濟衰退的擔憂,因為世界兩大經濟體的經濟數據已顯示出疲軟跡象。

殼牌業績亮眼

投資者同時面對大量季度企業財報。能源巨頭殼牌(Shell)股價上漲3%,該公司公佈第一季度調整後盈利達56億美元,較上一季度增長逾50%,主要得益於其綜合氣體和上游業務的強勁表現。

丹麥最大銀行Danske Bank股價上漲超過3%,該行維持2025年盈利預期不變,並公佈超出預期的第一季度利潤。

飛機製造商空中客車(Airbus)股價飆升超過4%,該公司超出季度盈利預期,並重申全年展望。

相反,德國化工巨頭巴斯夫(BASF)股價下跌近2%,該公司表示近期關稅公告帶來「高度不確定性」。

英國教育公司Pearson股價下跌超過2%,該公司承認全球經濟前景更為不明朗,但仍有信心達成今年的財務目標。

歐元區通脹及失業率數據即將公佈

歐洲經濟數據方面,歐元區的失業率及通脹數據將於稍後公布,市場亦關注稍後美國的關鍵月度就業報告。

早前數據顯示,德國製造業4月份收縮速度為逾兩年半以來最慢,HCOB製造業採購經理人指數(PMI)由3月的48.3微升至48.4,為2022年8月以來最高,但仍低於50的增長分界線。

法國製造業4月產出則錄得近三年來首次增長,HCOB最終製造業PMI由3月的48.5升至48.7,為2023年1月以來最高。

油價周五小幅回升 結束弱勢一周

油價周五回升,結束一個艱難的交易週,市場對中美兩大經濟體貿易戰可能緩和抱有希望。

當地時間上午4:10,布倫特原油期貨上漲0.3%,報每桶62.29美元;美國西德克薩斯中質原油期貨也上漲0.3%,報59.43美元。

中國商務部表示正評估與美國展開貿易談判的可能性,而本周早些時候有國家媒體報道稱美方已聯繫中國希望展開談判。

儘管如此,兩大油價基準仍面臨逾5%的周跌幅,市場擔憂貿易戰可能令全球經濟陷入衰退,從而抑制石油需求,正值OPEC+準備增產之際。

評論與分析:

這篇報道清楚描繪了當前全球經濟與市場的微妙局勢,尤其是中美貿易談判進展對市場情緒的重大影響。投資者對於貿易戰的任何緩和跡象都表現出高度敏感,這反映出全球經濟深度依賴兩大經濟體的互動。值得注意的是,儘管企業盈利表現良好,如殼牌和空中客車,但整體宏觀經濟仍有不少不確定性,尤其是關稅政策帶來的風險。

歐元區製造業數據雖有改善跡象,但仍未完全擺脫萎縮,顯示經濟復甦仍然脆弱。油價的反彈也透露出市場對未來需求的謹慎樂觀,但周跌幅仍提醒我們全球經濟前景充滿挑戰。

從香港投資者角度看,這種全球經濟與地緣政治動態尤為重要,因為香港作為國際金融中心,深受全球市場波動影響。投資者應密切關注中美貿易談判的最新進展,以及歐洲和美國的經濟數據,這將直接影響市場走勢和投資決策。

此外,企業財報季的良好表現為市場提供了支撐,但投資者需保持警覺,因為宏觀經濟不確定性可能隨時改變市場情緒。整體而言,市場正處於一個充滿機遇與挑戰並存的階段,謹慎選股和多元化投資策略將是關鍵。

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