比特幣期權交易增長,投資者看好長期前景




比特幣交易者透過出售看跌期權進行長期累積

根據Deribit的Lin Chen向CoinDesk透露,使用穩定幣進行的現金擔保看跌期權出售顯著增加。

要點:
比特幣交易者越來越多地出售BTC看跌期權,顯示出對價格的看漲預期。
BTC期權及相關ETF的累積德爾塔達到90億美元,突顯出對比特幣價格變動的敏感度。

當你預期索賠的機會很低時,你會提供保險嗎?大多數人會這樣做,並在不加思索的情況下賺取保費。比特幣(BTC)交易者在Deribit上市的BTC期權市場中也在做類似的事情,暗示出看漲的價格預期。

最近,越來越多的交易者開始出售(寫出)BTC看跌期權,這類似於提供對價格下跌的保險,以換取小額的前期保費。

這些交易者以現金擔保的方式實施這一策略,通過持有相應數量的穩定幣來確保他們可以在市場下跌時購買BTC,若看跌期權的買方決定行使其以預定較高價格出售BTC的權利。

這一策略使交易者能夠收取保費(由看跌期權買方支付),同時如果期權被行使,還可能累積比特幣。換句話說,這表達了長期的看漲情緒。

Deribit的亞洲業務發展負責人Lin Chen告訴CoinDesk:「使用穩定幣進行的現金擔保看跌期權出售顯著增加,這是對BTC累積的更成熟、長期的方法的另一個跡象,並持續表達出看漲的情緒。」

Chen表示,BTC持有者也在出售較高行使價的看漲期權,以收取保費並在其持有的幣量上產生額外收益,這對Deribit的DVOL指數造成壓力,該指數測量30天的BTC隱含波動率。根據TradingView的數據,自4月7日BTC價格驟降至75,000美元以來,該指數已從63降至48。

「我們觀察到,投資者對BTC的長期看漲情緒依然強烈,特別是在願意在市場周期中持有的加密貨幣“持有者”中。」Chen說。

自本月初BTC價格下滑至75,000美元以來,比特幣價格已上升至超過92,000美元,這被認為是受到避險需求和機構重新採納的推動。

價格的急劇回升使得BTC期權的風險逆轉重置,顯示出在不同時間框架內對看漲期權的偏好,根據數據來源Amberdata。在過去兩天中,交易者特別在場外技術平台Paradigm上購買了行使價為95,000美元、100,000美元和135,000美元的看漲期權。截至目前,100,000美元行使價的看漲期權是Deribit上最受歡迎的選擇,名義未平倉合約超過16億美元。

90億美元的德爾塔
追蹤期權市場的流動性是多麼重要,可以通過Deribit的BTC期權及與美國上市的BlackRock現貨比特幣ETF(IBIT)及其同行相關的累積德爾塔達到90億美元來解釋,根據Volmex的數據。

這些數據顯示期權對BTC價格變動的敏感度提高,暗示價格波動的潛力。

德爾塔是高級市場參與者用來管理風險的指標之一,測量期權合約價格(保費)對於基礎資產價格(在這種情況下為BTC)每1美元變化的反應程度。

因此,90億美元的累積德爾塔代表所有未平倉的BTC和比特幣ETF期權對現貨價格變化的總敏感度。截至周三,所有未平倉期權合約的名義總值為430億美元。

如此龐大的數據或對基礎資產價格波動的敏感性意味著市場做市商和交易者積極參與對沖策略以降低風險。市場做市商,或那些負責提供訂單簿流動性的人,因其不斷努力維持淨方向中立的曝險而著稱於增加價格波動。

Volmex指出:「期權德爾塔隨著未平倉合約的增長和行使價德爾塔的顯著變化而上升至歷史高位。期權市場做市商正在積極對沖這一德爾塔曝險,這是由於大量新頭寸和行使價格的顯著變化所驅動的。」

根據Volmex的數據,與IBIT相關的期權交易者相比,Deribit上的加密原生期權交易者的看漲情緒更強烈。

這篇報導不僅反映了目前比特幣市場的動態,也顯示出投資者對比特幣的長期信心。隨著市場參與者越來越多地利用期權進行風險管理和資本增值,這不僅是對比特幣未來的信心表現,也可能預示著更成熟的市場行為。這種趨勢值得關注,因為它可能會影響未來的市場波動和價格走向。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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