比特幣ETF資金流出,投資者應擔心嗎?

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比特幣投資者是否應該擔心現貨BTC ETF的資金流入平穩?

最近,現貨比特幣ETF的資金流入減弱引起了關注,因為這些金融工具在4月3日至4月10日之間出現了8.72億美元的淨流出。這一現象使得交易者開始懷疑市場對比特幣的興趣是否正在減退。強烈的賣壓自4月3日開始,當時全球貿易緊張局勢加劇,經濟衰退的恐懼也隨之上升。尤其是在4月11日和4月14日,現貨比特幣ETF的淨流入僅低於200萬美元,這一趨勢令人擔憂。

比特幣價格穩定,顯示出買賣雙方興趣薄弱

在過去五周內,比特幣的價格保持在約83,000美元附近,這進一步顯示出買賣雙方的興趣薄弱。一方面,這種缺乏波動性可能表明比特幣正在成為一種更成熟的資產類別。例如,幾家標準普爾500指數公司自歷史高點以來已下跌40%或更多,而比特幣在2025年的最大回撤僅為32%。

然而,比特幣的表現卻讓那些相信「數字黃金」論述的人失望。到目前為止,黃金在2025年上漲了23%,並在4月11日達到3,245美元的歷史高點。儘管比特幣在過去30天內的表現超過了標準普爾500指數4%,但一些投資者擔心其吸引力正在減弱,因為比特幣目前與其他資產無關聯,且未能作為可靠的價值儲存手段。

比特幣ETF日均交易量超過20億美元

在分析現貨比特幣ETF市場時,特別是與黃金相比,比特幣仍具備一些優勢。4月14日,現貨比特幣ETF的總交易量達到22.4億美元,這比30天的平均交易量27.5億美元低了18%。因此,說這些產品的投資者興趣消失並不準確。

雖然比特幣ETF的交易量低於SPDR標準普爾500 ETF(SPY)的540億美元,但仍然接近黃金ETF的53億美元,並超過美國國債ETF的21億美元。考慮到美國的現貨比特幣ETF僅在2024年1月推出,而黃金ETF已交易超過20年並擁有1,370億美元的管理資產,這一數據是相當令人印象深刻的。

即使包括Grayscale的GBTC信託,該信託在2017年每日交易量超過20萬股,並在轉換為ETF之前,比特幣投資產品仍然不滿八年。目前,現貨比特幣ETF的管理資產約為946億美元,這超過了英美煙草、瑞士銀行、ICE、法國巴黎銀行、信諾、住友三井等知名公司的市值。

比特幣ETF的持有者顯示出其在行業中的地位

要了解現貨比特幣ETF如何在行業中建立地位,可以看看這些產品的主要持有者,包括Brevan Howard、D.E. Shaw、Apollo Management、Mubadala Investment和威斯康辛州投資等知名名字。從養老基金到世界上一些最大的獨立資產管理公司,比特幣ETF為傳統資產提供了一種替代方案,無論短期價格波動如何。

隨著這一資產類別的增長以及期貨和期權等更多產品的上市,比特幣最終可能會被納入全球指數,無論是在商品還是貨幣類別中。這可能會導致被動基金的投資,進一步提升價格潛力和交易量。因此,目前缺乏強勁的淨流入或流出並不罕見,且不應被視為弱勢的標誌。

這篇文章僅供一般資訊參考,並不構成法律或投資建議。此處表達的觀點、想法和意見僅代表作者本人,並不一定反映或代表Cointelegraph的觀點和意見。

評論

這篇文章深入探討了比特幣ETF的市場動態,特別是在當前經濟環境下的資金流出情況。儘管短期內出現資金流出的現象,但從長遠來看,比特幣ETF的增長潛力仍然可觀。市場的成熟與穩定性可能會吸引更多機構投資者的參與,這對於比特幣的長期價值提升至關重要。

此外,文章提到的比特幣與黃金的比較也引發了對於資產類別之間關聯性的思考。隨著市場的不斷變化,投資者需要重新評估比特幣的角色,尤其是在全球經濟不穩定的背景下。比特幣是否能夠真正成為「數字黃金」,還需要時間來驗證。這也提醒我們,投資不僅僅是關注短期波動,更要有長遠的視野和策略。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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