美債遭拋售!全球市場恐慌,避險資產失靈?




新加坡(路透社) – 美國國債在星期三持續大幅下跌,顯示投資者甚至開始拋售他們最安全的資產,這一切都是因為美國關稅引發的全球市場大跌,情況令人不安地轉向被迫拋售和急於尋求現金的避險行為。

「這已經超越了基本面,現在的問題是流動性,」來自悉尼的澳新銀行資深利率策略師傑克·查姆斯(Jack Chambers)表示。

全球基準的安全避風港——10年期美國國債收益率,已經失去支撐,長期國債的賣壓來自對沖基金,這些基金借錢押注現貨和期貨價格之間通常微小的差距。

儘管交易員對美國降息的預期加大,但10年期國債收益率仍急劇上升,美元對歐元和日元的匯率也出現下跌,顯示市場的混亂。

在亞洲市場,10年期國債收益率升至4.46%,上漲20個基點,較週一的低點上升了約60個基點。

30年期國債收益率在三天內上升了近60個基點,並突破了5%的高位,如果這一趨勢持續,將會是自1981年以來最劇烈的拋售。日本和澳大利亞的主權債券也出現了較小的收益率上升。

隨著國債拋售的加劇,國債收益率和互換利率之間的利差幾天來一直在下降,這已經發出警告信號。

對沖基金成為了這一切的核心,因為他們的貸款方無法再忍受「基差交易」——即押注現貨國債和期貨價格之間的小差異,隨著市場因關稅新聞而開始波動。

「當主要經紀商開始收緊條件,要求更多的保證金或表示我不能再借你更多的錢時,這些對沖基金顯然就不得不賣出,」來自新加坡的全球套利基金Aravali Asset Management首席投資官穆克什·達夫(Mukesh Dave)表示。

在星期三,美國實施了超過一百年來最高的關稅,策略師們表示,關於國債作為全球金融中心未來的更廣泛討論已經展開。

「國債的拋售可能在暗示一種政權轉變,即美國國債不再是全球固定收益的安全避風港,」花旗集團G10利率交易桌策略師本·威爾特希爾(Ben Wiltshire)表示。

在這個時刻,我們看到的並不僅僅是市場的波動,而是更深層次的結構性變化。這種變化可能會改變投資者對國債的看法,並促使他們尋求其他安全的資本避風港。隨著全球經濟面臨不確定性,投資者或許需要重新評估其投資組合的風險和回報,並考慮如何在不斷變化的環境中保護自己的資本。這不僅是對國債的挑戰,也是對整個金融體系的一次考驗。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

🎨 Nano Banana Pro 圖像生成器|打幾句說話就出圖

想畫人像、產品圖、插畫?SSFuture 圖像生成器支援 Flux Gemini Nano Banana Pro 改圖 / 合成, 打廣東話都得,仲可以沿用上一張圖繼續微調。

🆓 Flux 模型即玩,不用登入
🤖 登入後解鎖 Gemini 改圖
📷 支援上載參考圖再生成
⚡ 每天免費額度任你玩
✨ 即刻玩 AI 畫圖
[Subject]: Young Asian female with "Imada Mio-inspired" doll-like aesthetic (精緻洋娃娃臉). She has large round expressive eyes, a small V-line face, and rosy cheeks. Her expression is innocent, energetic, and slightly flirty. [Hair]: Messy morning hair (剛睡醒的凌亂感), long dark brown hair, slightly tousled, natural volume. [Outfit]: Wearing an oversized translucent white button-down shirt (男友風白襯衫), unbuttoned at the top to reveal collarbones, creating a "bottomless" look (下衣失蹤風格). [Style]: Japanese Gravure Photobook style (寫真集風格), Pure & Sexy vibe, bright high-key lighting, soft skin texture, Fujifilm PRO 400H color tone. {
  "image_generation_request": {
    "prompt": "Ultra-realistic portrait of a man walking toward the camera on an airport runway at night He wears a white long-sleeve shirt with sleeves rolled up and dress pants, shoes. The camera is very close, capturing his face sharply - textures of skin, smoke from his lips, and subtle reflections of firelight in his eyes. Behind him, slightly out of focus, a commercial airplane is burning intensely, with huge flames, roaring firestorms, and thick black smoke rising high. The fiery glow casts dramatic orange highlights on his shirt and face, creating deep shadows and a gritty, cinematic mood. Wet runway reflects the blaze, enhancing the dramatic atmosphere.",
    "dimensions": {
      "width": 1200,
      "height": 1200
    },
    "style_descriptors": [
      "Cinematic",
      "Photorealistic",
      "Gritty",
      "Dramatic Lighting",
      "Macro Photography",
      "8k resolution"
    ],
    "subject_details": {
      "action": "Walking toward camera, smoking",
      "clothing": "White long-sleeve shirt (rolled sleeves), dress pants, shoes",
      "facial_features": "Sharp focus, skin texture, firelight reflection in eyes"
    },
    "environment_details": {
      "location": "Airport runway at night",
      "background": "Commercial airplane burning, intense fire, thick black smoke, out of focus",
      "ground": "Wet runway, reflecting fire"
    }
  }
} A dynamic, ultra-realistic action shot of a snowboarder performing a high-air jump on a snowy mountain slope. The rider wears a bright green winter jacket, black snow pants, gloves, and a dark beanie, with reflective goggles catching the cold mountain light. A cloud of visible breath escapes from the rider’s mouth in the freezing air. Snow explodes upward from the snowboard, creating sharp, frozen particles suspended mid-air. The background features a dramatic high-altitude landscape with forested slopes and distant mountains under soft, cold blue lighting. Capture cinematic contrast, DSLR realism, 85mm lens, f/2.8, crisp details, slow-motion energy, dynamic composition, atmospheric depth, high-clarity sports photography.