比特幣爆升!目標價直指 30 萬美元?

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比特幣的巨大「擴音器形態」設定了27萬至30萬美元的價格目標

根據市場分析師Gert van Lagen的說法,比特幣(BTC)已經突破了一個持續四年的看漲擴音器形態,這可能會在未來幾個月內推動其價格創下新高。

BTC目標價格為27萬至30萬美元,預計在2025年實現

這種看漲的擴音器形態,也被稱為擴張楔形,形成的過程中價格會出現一系列的高點和低點。根據技術分析的規則,當價格突破形態的上邊界時,可能會引發一波拋物線式的上漲。

在11月,比特幣突破了這一形態的上趨勢線,並且自此以來一直在其上方整合。

Lagen的圖表突顯了基礎1、基礎2、基礎3和基礎4,這是一種階梯式的累積結構,支持比特幣在拋物線上升之前的有序價格發現過程。

– 基礎1:標誌著熊市在擴音器的下邊界結束。
– 基礎2:一個熊市陷阱,震盪出弱勢持有者,隨後比特幣重新獲得支撐。
– 基礎3:價格擴張階段,確認了更高的高點,形成了階梯式結構。
– 基礎4:突破前的最終整合,顯示價格發現過程已經開始。

拋物線曲線階梯式形成的示意圖

同時,Lagen利用艾略特波浪理論來預測比特幣的突破目標,描繪了其在擴音器形態內部經歷的連續累積階段後的價格軌跡。

他的分析表明,比特幣目前處於波浪(5)階段——這是衝動波的最後一個階段,通常也是最具拋物線特徵的階段。根據規則,波浪(5)往往會延伸至波浪(3)長度的1.618倍至2.0倍,這與2025年內27萬至30萬美元的基於斐波那契的價格目標相符。

比特幣的「黃金路徑」支持30萬美元以上的預測

分析師apsk32將比特幣的軌跡與黃金的歷史上漲進行比較,指出比特幣可能會走上類似的道路,甚至高達40萬美元。

通過將比特幣的市場價值與黃金的市場價值進行標準化,該分析師指出,比特幣從未在其趨勢線上提前超過五年,這表明其仍有進一步上漲的潛力。

比特幣的黃金標準化市場價值

這一看漲的前景主要受到比特幣作為企業財庫資產的日益採用的驅動,這與黃金作為價值儲存的角色相呼應。

甚至像意大利的Intesa Sanpaolo這樣的傳統金融巨頭也開始將比特幣納入其持有資產,這顯示出機構對比特幣作為合法資產類別的信心在增強。

歷史上,黃金一直是政府和機構的避險資產,而比特幣現在也被定位為類似的角色,尤其是在美國總統特朗普考慮建立比特幣戰略儲備的背景下。

展望未來,Timothy Peterson預測比特幣到2035年可能會飆升至150萬美元,理由是網絡增長和歷史採用曲線的支持。同時,Ark Invest的首席執行官Cathie Wood也預計比特幣將在2030年達到同樣的價格目標。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決策時應自行進行研究。

在這篇文章中,我們可以看到比特幣的市場表現正在受到越來越多的關注,尤其是在其與黃金的類比上。這不僅僅是關於價格的上漲,更是比特幣在金融體系中逐漸獲得的地位。比特幣作為一種資產的合法性正在增強,這可能會吸引更多的機構投資者進入市場。隨著比特幣的採用率上升,未來的價格預測不再是單純的投機,而是基於其作為資產的實際需求和市場接受度。這種趨勢值得我們持續關注,因為它可能會改變整個金融市場的格局。

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