比特幣回升！特朗普子撐場？專家預測2025加密貨幣牛市

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加密貨幣日報：比特幣牛市情緒提升
2025年2月6日的市場前瞻
作者：Omkar Godbole, Shaurya Malwa | 編輯：Sheldon Reback
更新於2025年2月6日，UTC時間中午12:09

要點：
你正在查看《加密貨幣日報：美洲》的內容，這是你早上的簡報，涵蓋了過去24小時加密市場的動態以及未來一天的預期。在接下來的幾周內，這個每日更新將取代《美洲首發通訊》，並於東部時間早上7點送達你的收件箱，幫助你開始一天的工作。如果你還未訂閱，請點擊這裡。你不會想錯過它。

過去24小時，社交媒體上出現了許多樂觀的發帖，知名人士對加密貨幣市場發表了積極的看法，這些情緒也反映在價格上。

比特幣價格從$96,900反彈至超過$98,000，特朗普總統的兒子埃里克鼓勵與家族相關的World Liberty Financial投資這種最大的加密貨幣。

Cardano創始人查爾斯·霍斯金森也是其中一位表達樂觀情緒的人。他在社交媒體上表示：「讓你了解即將到來的牛市有多大，我們剛剛經歷了一次比Luna或FTX崩潰更大的下跌，並且已經幾乎恢復：24小時內7100億的損失和74萬名交易者被清算。2025年是加密貨幣的年份。」

根據CoinDesk的數據，Cardano的ADA代幣上漲了4%，其他主要的山寨幣如XRP、SOL和ETH也有類似的增幅。

至於以太坊，儘管分析師社群仍持悲觀態度，但機構似乎正在大量購買。鏈上數據追蹤者Lookonchain顯示，在過去兩天內，一家交易公司從集中交易所提取了62,381枚以太幣，並轉移至Coinbase Prime。市場做市商Wintermute指出，本周早些時候對以太坊的場外需求強勁。

在其他消息中，Coinbase的董事Conor Grogan推測，加密貨幣交易所Kraken可能知道比特幣創造者中本聰的真實身份。Grogan表示，中本聰可能擁有109.6萬BTC，財富超過比爾·蓋茨。美國參議院已提出一項法案，旨在規範穩定幣，這可能會提高對美國國債的需求並「促進金融創新」，FxPro的首席市場分析師亞歷克斯·庫普斯基維奇表示。

在宏觀方面，對中國敏感的貨幣如澳元和紐元再次對美元疲弱，但仍在近期範圍內，這表明市場並不預期美中貿易戰會持久。然而，特朗普似乎不急於與習近平總統通話，這可能會在短期內限制風險資產的增長。

美國財政部長斯科特·貝森特表示，特朗普政府希望降低美國國債收益率，這對風險資產可能是個好消息。儘管如此，如果周四的美國失業救濟申請和第四季度單位勞動成本數據顯示經濟表現良好，10年期收益率可能會上升，這可能會抑制比特幣的上漲。請保持警覺！

觀察重點
加密貨幣：
– 2月6日：Berachain (BERA) 主網啟動，並首次創建和分發其原生代幣。15.75%的BERA代幣將空投給社區成員、應用程序和流動性提供者。
– 2月6日，上午8:00：Shentu Chain網絡升級（v2.14.0）。
– 2月13日：Kraken將開始逐步下架USDT、PYUSD、EURT、TUSD和UST穩定幣，過程將於3月31日結束。
– 2月18日，上午10:00：FTX數字市場（FTX在巴哈馬的子公司）將開始向債權人進行賠償。

宏觀經濟：
– 2月6日，上午7:00：英格蘭銀行（BoE）發布貨幣政策摘要及貨幣政策委員會會議紀要，以及2月的貨幣政策報告。新聞發布會將在30分鐘後進行直播。
– 2月6日，上午8:30：美國勞工部發布截至2月1日的失業保險每週申請報告。
– 2月6日，下午2:00：美國眾議院金融服務委員會將舉行有關「Operation Choke Point 2.0」的聽證會，兩位證人分別是Coinbase的首席法律官保羅·格里瓦爾和MARA Holdings的首席執行官弗雷德·提爾。直播鏈接。
– 2月6日，下午2:30：美聯儲理事克里斯托弗·J·沃勒將在華盛頓的亞特蘭大理事會上發表關於支付的演講。直播鏈接。
– 2月7日，上午8:30：美國勞工統計局（BLS）將發布1月份的就業情況報告。

市場動態：
比特幣自上週三下午4點以來上漲了1.7%，報價為$98,068.38（24小時變動：+0.76%）。以太坊上漲了4.15%，報價為$2,812.62（24小時變動：+0.37%）。CoinDesk 20指數上漲了1.54%，報價為3,281.41（24小時變動：-0.60%）。

技術分析
BTC/JPY交易對已突破連接10月和11月的高點的上升趨勢線。儘管如此，該交易對仍然在橫盤整理中，可能會鼓勵空頭。

我的評論：
當前加密市場的牛市情緒顯示出強勁的回暖跡象，尤其是比特幣和其他主要山寨幣的價格上漲，這可能與市場對於未來經濟政策的預期有關。特朗普政府對於降低國債收益率的承諾，可能會使投資者對風險資產，包括比特幣，產生更大的信心。然而，市場仍需警惕即將公布的經濟數據，這些數據可能會影響整體市場走勢。隨著機構投資者的進一步進場，加密市場的未來發展值得關注，特別是在宏觀經濟環境變化的背景下。

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It wears a delicate gold collar adorned with tiny gemstones and a miniature Bastet charm, symbolizing protection, divinity, and royal favor." }, "background": { "macro_environment": "A grand royal palace courtyard in ancient Egypt at golden hour, composed diagonally to echo the angled throne, with towering sandstone columns, carved relief walls, and distant pyramids beneath a richly colored desert sky.", "midground_details": "Palm trees gently swaying, monumental statues of Bastet and other Egyptian deities, ceremonial fire torches, flowing silk banners in jewel tones, and distant palace attendants positioned subtly for scale.", "micro_elements": "Ultra-sharp hieroglyph carvings, visible stone grain and chisel marks, fine desert sand particles, radiant gemstone reflections, metallic gold highlights, intricate embroidery threads, and realistic sun-cast shadows—every element sharply defined with zero blur." }, "lighting": { "type": "Cinematic natural golden-hour lighting enhanced with soft reflective fill light.", "effect": "Warm sunlight amplifies the vivid colors of the gown and gemstones while sculpted shadows define her face, body, throne, and the cat, creating a dramatic yet luxurious editorial mood." }, "camera": { "camera_type": "DSLR", "resolution": "8K UHD", "lens": "50mm prime lens", "aperture": "f/8 for maximum sharpness across subject and background", "iso": 100, "shutter_speed": "1/200s", "focus": "Extreme sharp focus from foreground to background, no bokeh, no blur" }, "style": "High-fashion editorial, cinematic realism, ultra-luxury Egyptian couture, vibrant jewel-toned palette, historical grandeur fused with modern sensuality, extremely detailed, sharp, powerful, and seductive" } Edit the uploaded photo (face based on the reference photo). Ensure the face remains consistent with the person in the uploaded image, without changing facial structure, skin tone . Create a Create an 8K ultra-realistic image of woman dancing joyfully in the rain at night, wearing a white sleeveless dress that flares out as she twirls. She has a bright, happy expression on her face. The background features softly glowing streetlights reflecting on a wet surface, creating a warm, shimmering ambiance. The rain is falling steadily, adding a dynamic and lively atmosphere to the scene.Using a Canon EOS R camera with a 50mm f/1.8 lens, f/2.2 aperture, shutter speed 1/200s, ISO 100 and natural light, Full Body, Hyper Realistic Photography, Cinematic, Cinema, Hyper detail, Ultra hd, Color Correction, ultra hd, hdr , color grading, 8k.