XRP跌穿2美元?破解熊市困局關鍵

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XRP的看跌背離提高了重測$2的可能性——牛市需要做什麼

XRP的價格面臨雙重看跌背離,這可能觸發25%的修正。

XRP的價格在最近的修正中創下了多個月的低點$1.78,隨後迅速回升至日線圖上的$2.50以上。

然而,這種山寨幣面臨著一個關鍵考驗,以無效化一個重要的看跌信號,可能會使賣方的優勢轉變。

XRP在日線和周線圖上顯示看跌背離

在過去三個月中,XRP的拋物線式上漲使其價值從$0.50飆升至歷史高點$3.40,增幅達580%。這種山寨幣打破了多年的阻力水平,並在1月錄得$3.03的最高月收盤價。

最近由於非加密貨幣的政治事件引發的閃電崩盤,暗示買家的流動性正在逐漸消失。隨著市場充滿波動性,XRP的長期圖表顯示出在日線和周線圖上形成了看跌背離。

如圖所示,XRP的價格在最近幾周形成了更高的高點,而其相對強弱指數(RSI)卻形成了更低的高點。兩個圖表上的RSI指標也從超買區域向下趨勢,這意味著買家正在減少動能。

雖然XRP成功無效化了在較低時間框架上形成的前期背離,但日線和周線圖上的看跌背離引發了擔憂,因為高時間框架的圖表通常決定了更主導的趨勢。

這些看跌背離的潛在後果是XRP可能再次跌破$2,這將是從當前價位的23%的下跌。由於這種山寨幣在$1.78形成了新的低點,新流動性區域將會形成,這一概率也因此增加。

XRP能否無效化其看跌論調?

技術分析的一個基本部分是每個信號或模式都有其無效化的條件。同樣,如果XRP能夠在日線圖上保持在$2.90以上,則其在日線和周線圖上的看跌背離也可以被駁回。

$2.90的水平是XRP在12月形成的前一個更高的高點,這也在XRP重新測試其歷史高點$3.40後作為支撐水平。Binance和Coinbase的現貨活動也主要集中在$2.90附近,這使得該山寨幣在1月中旬突破了$3。

若能回升至$2.90以上,將重新建立一個看漲的市場結構,減少XRP最近看跌低點的影響。然而,在這種情況下,時間至關重要,因為持續缺乏明確的方向性偏見將有利於看跌方,因為賣方是最近主要價格波動的市場推動者。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決定時應自行進行研究。

在這篇文章中,我們看到XRP的價格波動及其背後的技術分析,這對於投資者來說是至關重要的。XRP的市場動態不僅反映了加密貨幣的整體趨勢,也顯示出市場情緒的變化。投資者應該密切關注這些技術指標,因為它們可能預示著未來的價格走勢。此外,市場的波動性使得投資決策更加複雜,這要求投資者在做出決策時必須更加謹慎和深入地分析市場情況。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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