比特幣跌至9.5萬美元,數據顯示或為買入良機




比特幣數據顯示購買時機成熟,BTC接近95,000美元

在美國時間的週四晚間,比特幣(BTC)因為一波下滑而接近90,000美元,但在週五的歐洲早晨,價格再次回升至接近95,000美元,這比每週高點120,000美元低了10%。

重要資訊:
鏈上數據顯示,比特幣的支出輸出利潤比率(SOPR)在週五上升至0.987。歷史上,這種情況通常預示著價格回升,顯示出潛在的購買機會。儘管經濟數據和一般的獲利回吐可能對比特幣的早期反彈造成影響,但追蹤投資者行為的數據顯示,在當前價格水平進行購買可能對尋求進入BTC市場的投資者有利。

根據鏈上數據,比特幣的支出輸出利潤比率(SOPR)在週五上升至0.987,這表明持有比特幣少於六個月的投資者正在虧損賣出。歷史上,這種情況通常會在價格回升之前出現,顯示出潛在的購買機會。

其他一些受關注的周期指標,如市場價值與實現價值比(MVRV)和Puell多重指標,以及60%的短期投資者比例,都表明市場尚未達到頂峰,而本週的修正似乎並不意味著牛市的結束,根據CryptoQuant的分析師MAC_D的說法。

“隨著短期投資者經歷更多的痛苦,這往往會帶來更好的累積機會,”MAC_D在週四的帖子中表示。“如果當前價格進一步下滑,聰明的投資者可能會累積那些被短期投資者廉價拋售的幣。因此,在此時出售幣可能被視為非常不明智的決定。”

SOPR通過比較比特幣最後一次轉移的價值和再次花費時的價值來衡量已花費比特幣的利潤或虧損。短期SOPR專注於在相對短的時間內(少於155天)轉移的幣,並可以指示市場情緒,其中值低於1可能表明拋售或市場底部,潛在地顯示出購買的好時機。

市場價值與實現價值比(MVRV)則比較比特幣的總市值(市場價值)和“實現市值”,後者將每個比特幣的價值定義為其最後一次轉移時的價格。這個指標用來評估比特幣是否被高估或低估,幫助預測潛在的市場高點或低點。

在週五的歐洲早晨,比特幣價格接近95,000美元,這是因為美國時間的週四晚間出現了一波下滑,價格接近90,000美元,較每週高點120,000美元下跌了10%。

新鮮的經濟數據導致美國國債收益率在週四飆升,這使得股市下跌,風險資產如比特幣也隨之下滑。最新的美國供應管理協會(ISM)報告顯示,服務業表現強勁,價格指標達到2023年初以來的最高點。

交易者正在關注週五晚間即將公布的美國非農就業數據(NFP),以便進一步調整頭寸。CoinDesk報導指出,強勁的NFP數據可能表明經濟強勁,暗示可能會加息,而這對於比特幣等風險資產通常是不利的。

在這篇報導中,我們可以看到比特幣市場的波動性以及投資者行為的影響。當前的市場情況提醒我們,短期的價格波動不應該掩蓋長期投資的潛力。對於那些尋求進入市場的投資者來說,理解市場指標和投資者情緒是至關重要的。隨著市場的成熟,投資者需要更加謹慎地評估風險與回報,並在合適的時機做出明智的決策。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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