UBS升級SSE評級至‘買入’,前景看好!




UBS上調SSE評級至「買入」,基於強勁基本面及傳輸業務增長

UBS全球研究部的分析師將SSE plc(倫敦證券交易所代碼:SSE)的股票評級從「中性」上調至「買入」,這反映出其基本面的改善及傳輸業務的潛在增長。

UBS指出這一決定的幾個關鍵因素,強調了SSE在相對估值方面的優勢,以及其業務模式向低風險投資的轉變。

由於利率上升及Dogger Bank離岸風電項目的延誤,SSE的股價在2024年下降了約13%。因此,SSE的表現落後於競爭對手,如Iberdrola和Enel,分別低了28%和18%。

儘管面臨這些挑戰,UBS指出該公司的基本面正在加強。SSE越來越專注於受管制的傳輸資本支出及準受管制的差價合約,從而降低對風險較高的商業運作的依賴。

因此,UBS已將SSE的目標股價從1,935便士上調至1,970便士,反映出預期在2020年代末將會有更高的容量支付。

分析師指出,SSE的資本支出主要來自其傳輸業務。即使考慮到因監管及規劃限制可能減少的計劃支出,傳輸業務仍可能在2025至2031財年期間為公司每股盈利貢獻46便士。

分析師還指出,SSE每年可持續約50億英鎊的資本支出,而不需要出售資產或發行新股。

另一個發展是Berwick Bank離岸風電項目,UBS認為這對於實現英國政府雄心勃勃的離岸風電目標至關重要。該項目尚待規劃批准,UBS估計其可能為SSE每股增值200至300便士。

分析師進一步淡化了Dogger Bank項目延誤的財務影響,指出儘管項目遇到困難,但其整體盈利貢獻仍然完好。

UBS還認為,SSE的熱能發電資產是一個上升的選擇。儘管這些資產目前的盈利能力較低,但隨著容量市場收緊及預期火花差價改善,盈利能力有可能回升。這一業務部門,加上SSE日益增長的可再生能源組合,使該公司在向清潔能源轉型的過程中具備良好優勢。

在估值方面,SSE在2026財年的企業價值與EBITDA比率為9.2倍,相對於National Grid的10.8倍,這被視為具吸引力。

儘管紅利收益率僅為3.2%,UBS認為增長潛力及強勁的資產負債表是SSE的優勢所在。

這篇報道不僅突顯了SSE在市場中的潛力,還反映出企業在面對挑戰時的彈性。隨著全球對可再生能源需求的增長,SSE的轉型策略可能會為其長期增長帶來利好,投資者應密切關注其未來的發展及營運數據。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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