SMidCaps會繼續走低嗎?市場前景分析




SMidCaps會繼續表現不佳嗎?

美國科技、半導體及「壯麗七巨頭」股票在週一出現顯著增長,推動標準普爾500指數上升0.5%,達到5,975點。

半導體股票的上漲主要歸因於富士康(SS:601138)宣布其營收同比增長15%,這使得英偉達(NASDAQ:NVDA)的股價上漲了3.4%。

在華爾街表現良好之後,Yardeni Research的分析師重申了對大型標普500信息技術和通信服務板塊的增持建議。

然而,該公司對中型標普400及小型標普600(統稱SMidCaps)以及小型羅素2000的看法則不那麼樂觀,因為這些指數相對於標普500持續表現不佳。週一,這三個指數均出現下跌。

根據Yardeni的報告,自2022年中期以來,SMidCaps的相對表現不佳與其前瞻性盈利的平穩趨勢有關,這與標普500自2023年中以來前瞻性盈利持續上升至歷史新高形成鮮明對比。

Yardeni指出:“這種分歧是異常的。我們的理論是,具有潛力成為大型公司的SMidCap公司在能夠實現之前就已被大型公司收購。”

此外,自2022年中期以來,標普500和標普400的前瞻性收入持續創新高,而標普600的前瞻性盈利則停滯不前。

標普500的前瞻性利潤率也在上升,達到新高,而標普400和標普600的利潤率仍低於2022年初的高點,並顯著低於標普500的利潤率。

該公司的分析顯示,標普400和標普600的前瞻性市盈率(P/E)從去年的約14.0上升至16.0。“這種倍數擴張佔據了去年的價格指數大部分漲幅,因為它們的盈利表現令人失望,”報告中提到。

Yardeni對羅素2000作為小型股基準指數的廣泛使用提出質疑,指出該指數中超過30%的公司是虧損的。這導致羅素2000的前瞻性市盈率遠高於Yardeni更偏好的標普600小型股指數。

這些分析顯示了中小型股在當前市場環境下的脆弱性,反映出大型企業對於潛力公司的收購行為,進一步壓制了中小型公司的增長潛力。這不僅影響了投資者的選擇,也讓市場對未來的增長預期感到不安。

在這樣的情況下,投資者需要重新考慮對SMidCaps的投資策略,或許在大型股的穩定增長與中小型股的波動之間找到新的平衡點,才能更好地應對未來的市場挑戰。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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The person from the reference photo ( keep the face of the person 100% accurate from the reference image ) relaxing on a fluffy, glowing cloud high above the sky, surrounded by soft golden sunlight and vast layers of clouds stretching to the horizon. the person is lying back comfortably with a pillow, wearing a dark long-sleeve shirt, olive green pants, holding a book in one hand and a coffee cup in the other. the lighting is cinematic and warm, capturing the golden hour ambiance with radiant highlights and gentle shadows across the clouds. captured with a wide-angle lens at medium depth of field, balancing focus between the subject and the surrounding dreamy sky. the overall atmosphere is surreal and serene, blending realism with fantasy in a peaceful, imaginative setting. Prompt:
Use my image in Ultra-realistic, hyper-detailed, 8K cinematic portrait of a young stylish man, using the uploaded image for exact face and hairstyle.
Outfit: An oversized red knit sweater with white hearts, exactly as described in the prompt.
Pose: A hyper-realistic close-up portrait with a messy, cropped framing showing only the boy holding the book. His left hand rests on the wooden table and covers part of his cheek, with a subtle smile on his lips. His other hand holds the book titled "Something I Never Told You" with the word "YOU" written in pink, exactly as
described in the prompt. Background: Not specified. {
"intro": "Create an ultra realistic 8K UHD DSLR editorial fashion photo based on the attached image as a reference of facial features, maintaining 100% likeness.",

"subject": {
"identity": "A beautiful real human woman styled as a modern high-fashion Cleopatra queen, maintaining 100% likeness to the reference image.",
"angle": "Full-body portrait captured at eye level with ultra-sharp clarity and no blur.",
"pose": "She stands confidently with one hand gently touching a tall carved pharaoh statue — the kind commonly found in Egyptian palace entrances — while her other hand holds an ornate cobra staff.",
"expression": "Regal, intense, and empowered.",
"hair": "Shoulder-length dark brown hair, sleek, glossy, and styled with subtle volume.",
"makeup": "Full glam with bold editorial colorful eye makeup — vibrant turquoise, sapphire blue, violet, and gold blended in a dramatic high-fashion shape, winged liner, glowing highlighted skin, sculpted cheeks, and glossy nude-rose lips."
},

"wardrobe": {
"outfit": "A luxurious high-fashion Egyptian couture gown with a dramatic, sexy silhouette — fitted bodice, flowing structured panels, iridescent fabrics, and metallic serpent-inspired embellishments wrapping around her hips and waist. The gown is elegant, regal, and runway-level extravagant.",
"footwear": "Flat Egyptian-style sandals with gold straps and gemstone accents.",
"accessories": "Opulent Egyptian jewelry including a golden collar necklace, serpent arm cuffs, gemstone earrings, and stacked bracelets.",
"headpiece": "A stunning Egyptian queen crown or headpiece featuring intricate gold filigree, gemstones, and a central cobra motif.",
"prop": "A tall ceremonial cobra staff with sculpted scales, gemstone inlays, and a dramatic raised cobra head."
},

"background": {
"location": "In front of the exterior wall of an Egyptian palace.",
"environment": "Ancient sandstone walls decorated with deep carvings and hieroglyphics. Beside her stands a traditional Egyptian palace statue — a tall carved pharaoh figure — which she touches with her hand. Warm golden desert sunlight illuminates the scene.",
"atmosphere": "Powerful, cinematic, regal — blending ancient Egyptian grandeur with high-fashion editorial aesthetics. No blur effect, all textures crisp."
},

"camera": {
"lighting": "Dramatic editorial lighting using strong directional sunlight with soft diffused fill, highlighting the gown’s texture, gold accents, and facial features.",
"lens": "50mm or 85mm prime lens for hyper-detailed realism.",
"settings": "ISO 100, f/5.6, 1/250 sec for a perfectly clear full-body image.",
"quality": "8K ultra-realistic, HDR, vibrant color grading with warm desert tones and high-fashion contrast."
}
}