聖誕紅利來臨?專家憧憬股市反彈!




聖誕老人反彈仍在望:分析師

儘管最近市場波動不定,Stock Trader’s Almanac的分析師依然對聖誕老人反彈的潛力持樂觀態度。

這一情緒是在道瓊斯工業平均指數(DJIA)自1974年10月以來的最長連續下跌趨勢結束後發表的。分析師指出,DJIA在過去的連續下跌中,通常需要約50個交易日才能恢復所累積的損失。

他們強調,歷史上在類似的下跌趨勢後,DJIA通常會趨勢向上。報告中解釋,當這種下跌趨勢結束後的一周、兩周和一個月內,該指數有72.7%的時間會上漲。三個月後,該指數上漲的機率為81.8%,平均增幅為5.8%,中位數增幅為7.59%。

報告還指出,歷史上只有兩次在下跌趨勢結束三個月後市場下跌:分別是1960年冷戰緊張期間和1941年全球第二次世界大戰期間。

分析師表示:「目前的機會顯示我們仍有望迎來聖誕老人反彈,並且牛市有望持續。」經過一年穩健的市場增長,最近的獲利回吐和謹慎情緒可能是自然的調整。

他們解釋道:「獲利回吐和一些恐懼情緒是可以理解的,這或許是市場和情緒中健康的去泡沫化過程。」總體而言,分析師相信市場的廣泛牛市動能可能會重新啟動,為投資者在新的一年提供良好的前景。

這篇報導的分析不僅提供了對市場走勢的歷史回顧,還突顯出在經濟波動中保持投資信心的重要性。隨著市場可能面臨不確定性,投資者需要更加謹慎地評估風險和機會。聖誕老人反彈的預測也提醒我們,即使在困難時期,市場仍然有可能出現意外的反彈。因此,投資者應該保持靈活的策略,並根據市場動態調整投資組合,以應對未來的挑戰。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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