「Croc鞋業增長乏力,市場前景不明」




Raymond James 降級 Crocs 評級,因增長放緩及利潤壓力

Investing.com報道,Raymond James 星期三在一份報告中將Crocs(NASDAQ:CROX)的評級從「跑贏大市」降至「市場表現」,原因是對增長放緩和利潤壓力的擔憂。

雖然該公司第三季度表現超出預期,但第四季度和2025年的指引削弱了投資者對潛在每股收益增長的信心。

分析師指出:「我們認為Crocs品牌第四季度的2%增長指引較為保守,考慮到國際市場的動力。」

然而,他們指出國內銷售下降令人擔憂。公司補充說:「國內直銷渠道(DTC)作為重要品牌指標,已連續三個季度環比放緩,這引發了對客戶獲取潛力的疑問。」

根據Raymond James的說法,該公司的另一個鞋履品牌HEYDUDE也面臨挑戰。

Raymond James表示:「第四季度的指引下降了約20個百分點,這強調了低能見度。」此外,該品牌何時能夠恢復可持續增長尚不明朗。

該公司還強調,由於在人才和市場推廣方面的投資增加,運營利潤率面臨持續壓力。Crocs預計2025財年的息稅前利潤率將進一步壓縮100個基點,2024年則預計下降220個基點。

分析師對於在收入放緩的情況下,銷售及管理費用(SG&A)未能得到控制感到驚訝,稱其為「潛在的機會」。

儘管在國際市場,特別是中國以外地區有一些增長潛力,但前景仍不明朗。Raymond James認為「Crocs International將在2025財年引領增長」,但他們指出北美的計劃增長缺乏能見度,這對提升股票倍數至關重要。

Raymond James將其2025年的每股收益預測從14.35美元下調至13.45美元,僅反映4%的增長,並且股票回購貢獻了2.5%。

該公司總結道:「我們預計估值將持續承壓,直到有更清晰的路徑提升收入和利潤率預期為止。」

編者評論:
這次Raymond James對Crocs評級的下調反映了市場對於品牌在國內市場增長潛力的擔憂。雖然國際市場展現出一定的活力,但北美市場的不可預見性成為了阻礙其整體增長的重要因素。這提醒我們,品牌的全球擴張策略必須考慮到各地市場的不同動態和挑戰。此外,如何在增長放緩的情況下有效地管理成本,特別是銷售及管理費用,將是企業能否在競爭激烈的市場中保持競爭力的關鍵。Crocs和HEYDUDE這類的品牌,可能需要重新評估其市場策略,以應對不確定的經濟環境和消費者行為的變化。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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