風災影響美國銀行業:金融危機在即?




**美國地區性銀行迎接佛羅里達颶風衝擊**

多家地區性貸款機構在第三季撥備貸款損失準備金,以應對因颶風而可能出現的借款人違約情況,這主要發生在佛羅里達,顯示出極端天氣和氣候變化對銀行構成的風險。

在九月底和十月初,兩場毀滅性的颶風襲擊了佛羅里達州,造成生命損失、房屋和公共財產損壞,電力線路中斷,影響了數百萬沿海居民。

金融業也受到影響,像Valley National Bancorp這樣的地區性貸款機構正採取措施減輕潛在損失。該銀行擁有約620億美元資產,全國擁有230個分行,其中40個位於佛羅里達,已預留800萬美元儲備以應對颶風Helene的影響。

「儘管根據目前的信息不預期,但颶風Milton和Helene的意外損失可能會導致第四季度颶風相關儲備、貸款核銷和撥備的顯著增加,」該公司本月早些時候表示。

氣候相關風險一直是銀行和監管機構的關注點,他們一直努力將這些因素納入貸款組合評估中。

雖然傳統貸款承保通常考慮經濟風險和利率,但極端氣候事件對借款人信用的影響既顯著又不可預測。

抵押貸款的抵押物可能會被摧毀,促使銀行調整其風險評級。企業關閉也可能使客戶財務緊張,導致信用卡付款延遲。

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida擁有152億美元資產和77個分行,預計將在第四季度撥備500萬到1000萬美元以應對颶風Milton,但警告稱對受災最嚴重地區的全面影響仍不清楚。

First Bancorp和United Community Banks因Helene而分別撥備1300萬和990萬美元。同時,佛羅里達的BankUnited表示正在完成對Milton影響的評估。

金融損失將不僅限於銀行,分析師預計保險商將承擔超過1000億美元的損失。

颶風Milton重創佛羅里達,造成至少10人死亡和大範圍停電。這是繼颶風Helene之後,該颶風以四級風暴襲擊佛羅里達州的大彎地區,並向北穿越幾個州,留下破壞和多次死亡的痕跡。

不過,銀行在未來幾季可能會看到業務增長,因為受災影響的人們尋求資金重建家園和振興業務。

通常,這類事件後,抵押貸款、小企業和消費貸款的需求增加,貸款顯著上升,這是紐約聯邦儲備銀行2021年發布的一份報告所指出的。

分析師建議,銀行也可能提供一些優惠,如降低利率、延期付款和收入相關計劃,以減輕借款人的財務負擔。

**評論:**

這篇文章揭示了氣候變化對金融業的深遠影響,尤其是地區性銀行在面對極端天氣事件時的脆弱性。隨著氣候變化的加劇,銀行必須重新評估其風險管理策略,並將氣候風險納入其貸款評估過程中。這不僅是為了保護金融機構本身,也是為了確保金融市場的穩定性。未來,銀行或許需要加強與保險公司和政府的合作,以共同應對氣候變化帶來的挑戰。此外,這也為金融科技公司提供了機會,利用數據分析和AI技術來預測和管理氣候風險,從而提供更精準的貸款和保險產品。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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