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加密貨幣高層預測2026年比特幣價格將因「大規模」流動性注入而上升
Abra交易所及錢包公司行政總裁Bill Barhydt表示，隨着美國貨幣政策寬鬆，2026年市場將注入大量流動性，帶動比特幣價格上升。不過，其他分析師則持較審慎態度，認為市場仍存在不確定因素。
Barhydt在接受Schwab Network訪問時指出，美聯儲明年可能會大幅降息，甚至重啟量化寬鬆政策，從而推動風險資產如比特幣的價格。他說：「我們現在看到的是輕度的量化寬鬆，美聯儲開始回購自家債券。我認為明年政府債券需求將大幅下降，加上利率走低，這對包括比特幣在內的所有資產都是利好。」
他還提到，美國監管環境日趨明朗，加上機構投資者的持續增持，以及利率走低，預計未來幾年比特幣和整體加密市場將迎來「不錯的發展」。
然而，根據芝加哥商品交易所（CME）數據，目前只有約14.9%的投資者預期美聯儲在明年一月的聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議上會降息，較11月份的23%有所下降，顯示市場對降息的預期仍然有限。
與此同時，部分早期比特幣投資者和分析師則持相反看法，他們認為2026年可能仍是比特幣的低迷期，甚至可能進入一段持續數月甚至數年的熊市。
分析師預計比特幣2026年或見底，美國中期選舉成市場風險點
早期比特幣投資者Michael Terpin認為，2026年比特幣價格可能表現不佳，預計第四季比特幣價格或會跌至約6萬美元。他同時指出，雖然新任美聯儲主席可能會推動降息，但美國2026年中期選舉結果可能帶來不確定性。
Terpin警告：「除非共和黨在中期選舉中全面勝出，否則監管環境將不會變得更友善。」
根據Polymarket的預測市場數據，共和黨全面勝出的機率約為19%，大部分交易者則預期國會兩院將由不同政黨控制，反映政治權力平衡仍存在變數。
NFT市場Magic Eden的總法律顧問Joe Doll亦指出，美國中期選舉的權力平衡「幾乎總是會改變」，這對政策走向和市場信心有重大影響。
—
評論與啟示
Bill Barhydt的觀點反映出一種典型的宏觀經濟與加密市場聯動思維：貨幣寬鬆政策往往會刺激風險資產價格上升，尤其是在利率走低的環境下，投資者尋求更高回報的需求推高比特幣等資產。然而，市場對降息的預期並不一致，這顯示未來政策走向仍存在不確定性。
另一方面，Michael Terpin等人的看法提醒我們，政治因素尤其是美國中期選舉的結果，可能成為加密市場的一大變數。監管政策的走向往往與執政黨息息相關，若中期選舉結果不利，可能會對市場信心造成打擊，甚至引發長期的熊市。
對香港及全球投資者而言，這種複雜的宏觀與政治風險交織，意味著投資比特幣和加密貨幣不應僅依賴貨幣政策的寬鬆預期，而應密切關注政治局勢與監管環境的變化。此外，市場預期的分歧也提醒投資者要保持謹慎，做好風險管理。
總結來說，2026年將是加密市場充滿挑戰與機遇的一年。流動性注入可能帶來短期上升動力，但政治風險和監管不確定性同樣不容忽視。投資者應該從多角度審視市場，避免盲目樂觀或悲觀，才能在變幻莫測的市場中把握機會。
以上文章由GPT 所翻譯及撰寫。圖片由Gemini 根據內容自動生成。
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"intro": "Create an ultra realistic 8K UHD DSLR photo based on the attached image as a reference of facial features, maintaining 100% likeness.",
"subject": {
"identity": "A stylish beautiful woman portrayed as Cleopatra performing a sacred night-time royal dance, embodying divine seduction, power, and celestial authority.",
"angle": "Full-body high-fashion editorial portrait captured at a cinematic 3/4 angle, ultra-crisp clarity with no blur.",
"pose": {
"body_position": "She is captured mid-dance inside a temple courtyard at night, her body angled gracefully, hips grounded, torso lifted, creating a powerful and sensual silhouette.",
"movement": "Her arms are raised in slow ceremonial motion while one leg steps forward, fully revealing her feet and lower legs as part of the ritual stance.",
"expression": "A calm, hypnotic, commanding gaze directed toward the camera—quiet dominance wrapped in sensual mystery."
}
},
"appearance": {
"outfit": "An ultra-bongga Cleopatra couture gown with an all-crystal bodice that fits like jeweled armor. Thousands of hand-set crystals, diamonds, and glass stones in gold, champagne, clear, and iridescent tones form sacred Egyptian motifs—cobras, sun disks, lotus symbols—entirely through crystal placement. The neckline is daring yet elegant, supported by invisible illusion mesh. From the waist, the skirt opens into flowing sheer silk and organza panels in ivory and soft gold, designed with a high front opening that intentionally exposes her legs and feet during movement. Crystal chains and beaded fringe sway rhythmically with every step, enhancing sensual motion.",
"accessories": "A dramatic Egyptian ceremonial headpiece with gold and crystal detailing, an oversized layered gold collar necklace, sculpted crystal arm cuffs, finger armor rings, a crystal-and-gold waist belt, and delicate gold anklets accentuating her bare feet.",
"hair": "Her hair is sleek, glossy, and perfectly controlled, styled to balance the weight of the crystal headpiece while allowing elegant movement.",
"makeup": "Ultra-glam, colorful Egyptian night makeup—bold elongated black kohl eyeliner, intense eyeshadow layered in turquoise, emerald, sapphire blue, violet, and metallic gold. Beneath the eyes, intricate ceremonial ink drawings in fine black and gold lines inspired by ancient Egyptian markings. Skin is luminous with molten-gold highlights, brows strong and defined, lips finished in a sensual nude-bronze satin."
},
"props": {
"ritual_elements": [
"Burning incense bowls releasing thick aromatic smoke",
"Golden sistrum placed near the dance space",
"Tall ceremonial torches lining the temple floor"
]
},
"background": {
"macro_environment": "A grand ancient Egyptian temple courtyard at night, reserved for sacred royal rituals.",
"midground_details": "Towering sandstone columns, massive statues of Isis and Hathor, carved temple walls, flowing linen drapes, and ceremonial platforms illuminated by firelight.",
"micro_elements": "Torch flames reflecting off crystal surfaces, fine dust particles glowing in the night air, incense smoke wrapping around her legs and feet, detailed stone floor textures beneath her bare feet, crystal fringe in motion, and sharply defined shadows—everything rendered in extreme detail with zero blur."
},
"lighting": {
"type": "Cinematic night lighting using torches, oil lamps, and subtle moonlight.",
"effect": "Firelight ignites the crystal bodice with prismatic sparkle while moonlight softly outlines her legs and feet, creating a dramatic, sensual, and divine atmosphere."
},
"camera": {
"camera_type": "DSLR",
"resolution": "8K UHD",
"lens": "50mm prime lens",
"aperture": "f/8 for full-body and environment sharpness",
"iso": 100,
"shutter_speed": "1/200s to freeze elegant motion clearly",
"focus": "Extreme sharp focus on crystal bodice, facial features, legs, feet, and temple details, no bokeh, no blur"
},
"style": "Ultra high-fashion editorial, night temple ritual, all-crystal couture, sexy yet sacred, ancient Egyptian royalty reimagined, cinematic realism, extremely detailed, sharp, iconic"
}](https://ssfuture.shop/wp-content/uploads/ai_gen_1766006158-167x300.png)
![{
"intro": "Create an ultra realistic 8K UHD DSLR photo based on the attached image as a reference of facial features, maintaining 100% likeness.",
"subject": {
"identity": "A stylish beautiful woman portrayed as Cleopatra during her sacred milk bath beauty ritual, embodying divine femininity, sensual elegance, and timeless power.",
"angle": "Close-up beauty editorial captured at a refined 3/4 angle, focusing on her face, shoulders, and upper chest with extreme clarity and no blur.",
"pose": {
"body_position": "She is partially submerged in a luxurious milk bath, her shoulders and collarbones emerging gracefully from the surface.",
"hands": "One hand gently rests at the edge of the bath with milk droplets on her fingers, while the other lightly touches her neck adorned with subtle gold jewelry.",
"expression": "Soft yet commanding gaze directed toward the camera—calm, confident, intimate, and hypnotic."
}
},
"appearance": {
"outfit": "A barely-there, ritual-style ivory silk drape partially submerged in the milk bath, clinging softly to her skin. The fabric is delicate and translucent, edged with fine gold-thread embroidery for a sensual, sacred aesthetic.",
"accessories": "Minimal ritual jewelry—thin gold collar necklace resting above the milk surface, delicate arm cuff, subtle finger ring—kept refined to maintain focus on beauty and skin.",
"hair": "Her hair is sleek and ritual-polished, partially damp and slicked back at the crown, with soft wet strands framing her face naturally, reflecting candlelight.",
"makeup": "High-fashion Cleopatra beauty makeup with ceremonial artistry—perfectly sculpted brows, elongated black kohl eyeliner, vibrant eyeshadow layered in turquoise, teal, emerald, sapphire blue, and metallic gold. Beneath the eyes, subtle artistic ink-inspired accents echo ancient Egyptian symbolism. Her skin is luminous and dewy, cheeks softly flushed, and lips finished in a nude-rose satin sheen."
},
"ritual_props": {
"bath": "A carved alabaster bathtub filled with warm milk infused with honey, almond oil, and lotus essence.",
"floating_elements": [
"Fresh lotus flowers",
"Soft white rose petals",
"Delicate gold flakes shimmering on the milk surface"
],
"beauty_products": [
"Small golden perfume vial with lotus and myrrh oil",
"Alabaster bowl of honey and milk mixture",
"Clay jar of mineral kohl and pigment powders"
]
},
"background": {
"macro_environment": "An intimate royal bathing chamber within Cleopatra’s palace, designed as a sacred beauty sanctuary.",
"midground_details": "Soft linen curtains, glowing oil lamps, tall candles, and subtle steam rising from the bath, creating a warm and sensual atmosphere.",
"micro_elements": "Milk ripples around her skin, floating petals touching her shoulders, tiny droplets of moisture on her collarbones, reflections of candle flames on gold jewelry, visible stone texture on the tub, and delicate fabric translucency—every detail sharply rendered with zero blur."
},
"lighting": {
"type": "Warm cinematic candlelight combined with soft ambient palace glow.",
"effect": "Golden highlights sculpt her face and skin while gentle shadows enhance depth, intimacy, and divine beauty."
},
"camera": {
"camera_type": "DSLR",
"resolution": "8K UHD",
"lens": "85mm prime lens for beauty editorial compression",
"aperture": "f/8 for maximum facial and detail sharpness",
"iso": 100,
"shutter_speed": "1/160s",
"focus": "Extreme sharp focus on facial features, skin texture, makeup details, and milk surface, no bokeh, no blur"
},
"style": "Luxury beauty editorial, sacred milk bath ritual, ancient Egyptian goddess realism, intimate yet powerful, ultra-detailed, luminous skin focus, cinematic elegance"
}](https://ssfuture.shop/wp-content/uploads/ai_gen_1766006026-300x167.png)