比特幣跌破九萬美元,市場情緒極度恐慌




比特幣跌破9萬美元,死亡交叉引發「極度恐懼」情緒
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比特幣價格下跌至89,420美元——自二月以來的最低水平——這一跌幅發生在價格在六週前達到126,250美元的歷史高位後,標誌著一個急劇的逆轉。

關鍵資訊:
* 比特幣跌破90,000美元,抹去2025年的所有漲幅,顯示出顯著的回撤。
* 此次下跌受到「死亡交叉」的影響,加上對通脹的擔憂使得ETF資金流入停滯。
* 主要加密貨幣如以太坊、索拉納等也隨之大幅下跌。

比特幣在香港時間週二於[Coinbase](https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin)上暴跌至90,000美元以下,這一賣壓已經抹去了2025年的所有漲幅,並將市場情緒推向周期中最為低迷的水平。

這一跌幅至89,420美元,為自二月以來的最低點,僅六週前價格曾達到126,250美元的歷史高位,顯示出劇烈的逆轉。

下滑在比特幣未能在週末重新獲得93,700美元的關鍵支撐後加速,跌破200日移動平均線並觸發了50日與200日趨勢線之間的「死亡交叉」。

這一信號雖然不完美,卻往往與多週的回撤相伴隨,尤其是在流動性減少和ETF資金流入停滯的情況下,這兩者目前均已顯現。

美國現貨ETF的資金流入在年初吸納超過250億美元後,近兩周來已經平穩,市場擔心特朗普政府的關稅政策可能會再次引發通脹並延遲美聯儲的降息。

在年初積極增持的企業財務買家同樣暫停了購買行為。

零售市場的壓力正在加劇。加密貨幣恐懼與貪婪指數在週一降至11,為2022年熊市以來的最低點,顯示出「極度恐懼」。

與比特幣相關的社交媒體討論量激增,這一模式歷史上出現在當交易者放棄其他幣種,專注於基準資產時的局部拋售事件。

分析師警告,如果未能在短期內重新獲得93,000美元,將會出現86,000至88,000美元的明顯流動性缺口。

不過,也有觀點認為,這種程度的情緒震盪往往會在ETF資金流出穩定和宏觀數據在未來幾周內變得不那麼鷹派的情況下,預示著短期的反彈。

僅僅是噪音

根據投資者和50T Holdings創始人Dan Tapiero的說法,傳統上推動比特幣價格上漲的買入壓力現在可能流向穩定幣和代幣化的現實資產。

儘管如此,他仍對該資產的長期前景充滿信心,認為其強勁的基本面和日益增長的機構興趣將支持比特幣的未來。他表示,短期的不確定性只是噪音。

這次比特幣的暴跌引發了市場的廣泛關注,許多投資者和分析師都在密切關注接下來的走勢。若能在短期內穩定情緒並吸引資金流入,或許會出現反彈的機會,這對於長期投資者來說無疑是個好消息。

在當前的市場環境下,投資者需謹慎行事,密切關注市場動向和宏觀經濟指標,以便做出明智的投資決策。

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