加拿大鵝股票因降級大跌,品牌挑戰重重




Canada Goose 股價下跌,因富國銀行下調評級至「減持」

加拿大鵝控股公司(NYSE:GOOS)(TSX:GOOS)的股價在週一的盤前交易中下跌了4.2%,因富國銀行將該股票的評級從「持平」下調至「減持」,並指出這家奢侈外套品牌面臨的多重結構性挑戰。

該券商將其目標價從16加元下調至12加元,預測公司將難以克服品牌動能、中國經濟前景和運營利潤率相關的問題。

富國銀行分析師指出,品牌熱度減退是評級下調的主要因素,並提到消費者在社交媒體上的參與度下降。儘管公司今年初試圖通過新的營銷策略,包括合作和季節性產品發布來刷新形象,但這些努力未能產生持久的動力。

僅在第三季度,加拿大鵝在社交媒體上的提及量下降了24%,而其他外套品牌如Arc’teryx和Moncler的提及量則增長了11%。

該報告還強調了加拿大鵝在中國市場的風險,該市場現在佔公司收入的30%以上。儘管品牌在中國當局最近的刺激措施後初期有所反彈,但該國經濟狀況的不穩定和青年失業率上升可能會抑制消費支出。

這一時機尤其令人擔憂,因為加拿大鵝高度依賴第三季度的收益,這佔其年度EBITDA的近80%。

此外,運營效率低下也影響了盈利能力。富國銀行指出了幾個問題,包括公司直銷擴展的結果不如預期。儘管通過減少批發依賴增加了毛利率,但品牌面臨著上升的銷售、總務及行政費用,反映了門店運營效率低下和庫存過多的問題。

為了清理過剩庫存而進行的促銷活動進一步壓低了利潤率,侵蝕了加拿大鵝的高端形象。

領導層的問題也增加了不確定性。任命海德·阿克曼(Haider Ackermann)為創意總監讓投資者感到困惑,因為他的奢侈時尚背景與加拿大鵝的性能導向品牌形象不符。

阿克曼與Tom Ford(NYSE:F)同時有合作,這進一步加劇了投資者對他在加拿大鵝長期參與的疑慮。

考慮到這些風險,富國銀行將其預測調整至低於市場共識,預計2025財年收入增長持平。分析師還將公司預期每股收益從1.20美元下調至1.10美元。該券商認為,如果品牌方向和利潤率未能穩定,該股表現可能在未來幾個月內仍將受限。

編者評論:

加拿大鵝這次受到的挑戰多方面綜合而成,從品牌熱度下降到運營效率低下,再到中國市場的不確定性,無不顯示出其在當前經濟環境下的脆弱性。這提醒我們,即使是高端品牌,也需要不斷適應市場變化和消費者需求。富國銀行的評級下調反映了投資者對該品牌未來發展的擔憂,尤其是在全球經濟不穩定的大背景下。

在香港市場,投資者應該密切關注這些變化,特別是那些涉及國際市場和品牌的公司。加拿大鵝的經歷也許能給我們一些啟示,即在投資奢侈品牌時,需更多關注其品牌管理和市場策略的靈活性。此外,公司內部的領導層變動和策略調整也可能對其市場表現產生重大影響。這些因素都值得投資者在做出決策時仔細考量。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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