美國參議院達成協議 可能助推加密市場反彈

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加密貨幣或將獲得喘息機會,美國參議院達成協議結束政府關閉:報導

根據《Politico》的報導,加密貨幣市場可能會迎來急需的喘息機會,因為美國參議院已就一項三部分的預算協議達成共識,以結束政府關閉。

該項待通過的立法獲得了超過60票的支持,足以通過《Politico》報導指出,這是共和黨參議院多數黨領袖約翰·圖恩第15次嘗試獲得民主黨對一項眾議院批准法案的支持,這使得歷史上長達40天的政府關閉有望結束。

不過,仍需進行正式投票以最終確定協議。

對美國政府何時重新開放的不確定性,一直是壓制比特幣及整體加密市場反彈的關鍵因素。

比特幣在政府關閉的第六天曾一度上漲至126,080美元的新高,但隨後下跌超過17%,目前報價為104,370美元,根據CoinGecko的數據顯示。

在過去一個月中,比特幣的跌幅在10月10日達到高峰,當時美國總統唐納德·特朗普宣布對中國徵收100%的關稅,這一消息在市場上引發了震動。

比特幣在上次政府關閉後漲幅達266%

上一次美國政府關閉發生在2018年底至2019年初,當時特朗普的第一任期內。關閉於2019年1月25日結束,隨後比特幣在接下來的五個月內從3,550美元上漲超過265%,達到13,000美元。

預測市場支持本周結束政府關閉

在預測市場Polymarket上,投注者支持政府關閉將在周四結束,市場顯示在周二至周五之間結束的機率為54%。這一數字在一天前僅為27%。

競爭平台Kalshi的預測也類似,估計政府關閉將在周五結束,這將是關閉的第44天。

特朗普在周日宣布,大多數美國人將獲得來自關稅收入的2,000美元紅利,約85%的成年人將符合資格,排除高收入者。

這一系列動態顯示,政府關閉的結束不僅對加密市場有潛在的正面影響,也可能改變整體經濟環境。隨著政府重新開放,市場的不確定性將減少,投資者的信心可能會回升,這對比特幣及其他加密貨幣的價格都是一個利好消息。

然而,值得注意的是,市場的反應往往是瞬息萬變的,投資者應保持警惕,隨時關注政策變動及其對市場的影響。

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