比特幣賣壓如2000年網絡泡沫崩潰後情況




BTC和加密貨幣的拋售讓人聯想到2000年網絡泡沫崩潰:分析師

大型的長期加密貨幣和比特幣投資者持續在市場上拋售,這使得資產價格無法達到頂峰。

根據分析師Jordi Visser的說法,加密市場目前的價格走勢與2000年網絡泡沫崩潰後的情況相似,當時股市下跌幅度高達80%,並且經歷了16年的整合期才重新回到之前的高點。

Visser表示,這意味著在崩潰期間投資於科技的風險投資者被迫因為鎖倉期而無法出售他們的投資,當他們最終能夠出售時,卻又急於將其賣出。他補充道:

> “許多股票的交易價格低於其首次公開募股(IPO)價格。我們現在的情況也類似。風險投資者和內部投資者因為急需流動性或贖回而在每次反彈時都進行拋售。這就是我對Solana、以太坊、每一種山寨幣以及比特幣的觀察。”

Visser澄清,雖然加密貨幣的價格不會像2000年代那樣需要16年才能反彈,但他使用2000年代網絡泡沫的後果來說明目前的拋售壓力動態,並表示加密市場正接近這一整合階段的結束,最多還剩下1年的時間。

這一分析是在比特幣和加密貨幣的熊市於10月開始之際提出的,這導致多位分析師和投資公司下調了他們最樂觀的價格預測。

比特幣是否在$100,000附近觸底?

一些分析師認為,比特幣的價格顯示出在$100,000附近觸底的跡象,但其他人則擔心如果拋售壓力持續增加,可能會跌至$92,000。

長期持有者通常會在歷史高點進行套現,而CryptoQuant的分析師Julio Moreno表示,鯨魚的拋售本身並不是問題。

他指出:

> “自十月以來,長期持有者的拋售增加;這並不新鮮,但需求正在收縮,無法在更高的價格吸收長期持有者的供應。”

長期持有者的拋售壓力只有在市場上沒有新的需求來吸收被拋售的比特幣時,才會抑制資產價格。

這一情況顯示出當前加密市場面臨的挑戰,長期持有者的拋售行為未能引發足夠的市場需求,這可能導致價格進一步下滑。隨著市場的波動性加大,投資者需要更加謹慎,尋找能夠抵禦這種拋售壓力的策略。

在這樣的市場環境下,投資者應該更加關注市場需求的變化,並考慮如何在這種不確定性中尋找機會。

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