比特幣主導下跌,或迎來山寨幣季節




Altcoin季節信號隱藏在比特幣主導地位的「多周」看跌中:分析師

一位加密貨幣分析師表示,比特幣的主導地位圖表已經「看起來看跌好幾周」,而Altcoin季節可能比許多交易者預期的更快到來。

加密貨幣分析師馬修·海蘭德(Matthew Hyland)在周五的一篇X帖文中指出:「你應該對Altcoin價格走勢充滿信心的原因是,比特幣主導地位圖表看起來是看跌的,並且已經看跌了好幾周。」

海蘭德表示:「這一下降趨勢有利於持續,因此這次反彈只是下跌趨勢中的一次死貓反彈。」在周六的一段視頻中,海蘭德聲稱,比特幣最近的價格波動可能是由傳統金融巨頭操控的。

比特幣主導地位在過去六個月下降5%

比特幣的主導地位,即比特幣在整體市場中的份額,過去六個月下降了5.13%,在發稿時持平於59.90%。根據TradingView的數據,11月4日,比特幣首次跌破10萬美元的價格水平,這引發了市場對該資產未來價格走勢的廣泛擔憂。

根據CoinMarketCap的數據,比特幣目前的交易價格為102,090美元。

雖然海蘭德推測Altcoin市場可能會很快獲得動力,但其他指標則持續顯示市場仍然以比特幣為中心。

CoinMarketCap的Altcoin季節指數目前為28分(滿分100),顯然仍在「比特幣季節」的範疇內。

Altcoin季節可能與以往循環不同

上一次該指標發出「Altcoin季節」信號是在10月8日,當時比特幣達到125,100美元的新高,交易者似乎預期資本會向更高風險的資產轉移。然而,該指標在10月10日的市場崩盤後迅速轉向風險回避模式,當時約190億美元的槓桿頭寸被清算。

一些加密貨幣高管預計,下一波Altcoin季節將比以往市場周期更具選擇性和集中性。CoinQuant的首席執行官馬恩·福圖尼(Maen Ftouni)最近表示,擁有交易所交易基金(ETF)或預期將獲得ETF的老牌加密貨幣將吸引在下一波Altcoin季節中部署的大部分資本。

福圖尼指出:「並不是每一種幣都會有巨大的回報;流動性將集中在某些地方,老牌幣當然是其中之一。」

這篇報導揭示了當前加密市場中比特幣主導地位的變化,並指出了Altcoin季節即將來臨的潛在信號。隨著市場的不斷演變,投資者需要密切關注這些指標,因為它們可能影響未來的投資決策。特別是,對於那些尋求在加密市場中獲利的投資者來說,了解市場動態及其背後的驅動因素至關重要。未來的Altcoin季節或許會更加集中,這意味著投資者需要更加謹慎地選擇他們的投資標的。

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