比特幣主導地位疲弱,或將迎來山寨幣季節

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Altcoin季節信號隱藏在比特幣主導地位的持續疲弱中:分析師

一位加密貨幣分析師表示,比特幣的主導地位圖表已經“看起來疲弱了幾週”,而altcoin季節可能即將來臨。

加密貨幣分析師馬修·海蘭德(Matthew Hyland)在週五的一則X帖文中指出:“你應該對altcoin的價格走勢有信心,因為比特幣主導地位的圖表看起來疲弱,並且已經疲弱了很多週。”

海蘭德補充道:“下行趨勢有利於持續,因此這次的反彈只是下行趨勢中的一次死貓反彈。”在週六的一段視頻中,他表示,比特幣的近期波動可能是由傳統金融巨頭操控的結果。

比特幣主導地位在過去六個月內下降了5%

根據TradingView的數據,比特幣的主導地位在過去六個月內下降了5.13%,目前持平在59.90%。在11月4日,比特幣價格首次跌破了100,000美元的關口,這引發了市場對資產價格未來走勢的更廣泛擔憂。

根據CoinMarketCap的數據,比特幣目前的交易價格為102,090美元。

雖然海蘭德推測altcoin市場可能很快會獲得動力,但其他指標仍然顯示市場仍然以比特幣為中心。CoinMarketCap的altcoin季節指數目前為28分(滿分100分),顯示出“比特幣季節”的特徵。

altcoin季節可能與以往周期有所不同

上一次該指數顯示“altcoin季節”是在10月8日,當時比特幣創下了125,100美元的新高,交易者似乎預期資本將進一步向高風險資產轉移。然而,在10月10日的市場崩盤後,該指數迅速轉向風險規避模式,當時約有190億美元的槓桿頭寸被清算,導致加密市場受到重創。

一些加密貨幣高管預計,下次的altcoin季節將比以往的市場周期更具選擇性和集中性。CoinQuant的首席執行官馬恩·福圖尼(Maen Ftouni)最近表示,擁有交易所交易基金(ETF)或預計將獲得ETF的老牌加密貨幣將會吸引大量資本。

“並不是每一種幣都會有巨大的回報;流動性將集中在某些地方,老牌幣當然是其中之一,”福圖尼說。

這篇文章的分析提供了對當前加密市場動態的深刻見解。隨著比特幣主導地位的持續疲弱,投資者應該更加關注altcoin的潛力,尤其是那些已經獲得ETF認可的幣種。這不僅反映了市場的變化,也顯示出傳統金融與加密市場之間的交互影響。未來的altcoin季節可能會更加集中於少數幣種,這對投資者來說是一個重要的信號,提醒他們在選擇投資標的時要更加謹慎和策略性。

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