比特幣主導地位回落,是否迎接Altcoin季?




Altcoin季節信號隱藏在比特幣主導地位的多周疲弱中:分析師

一位加密貨幣分析師表示,比特幣的主導地位圖表在過去幾周看起來“疲弱”,而altcoin季節可能即將來臨。

根據加密貨幣分析師馬修·海蘭德(Matthew Hyland)在周五的一則X推文中所述:“你應該對altcoin的價格行為充滿信心,因為比特幣主導地位圖表看起來疲弱,並且已經疲弱了好幾周。”

海蘭德指出:“下行趨勢有利於持續,因此這次反彈只是下行趨勢中的一次死貓反彈。”在周六的一段視頻中,他表示,比特幣價格的近期波動可能是由傳統金融巨頭操控的結果。他聲稱:“在過去的一個月裡,我一直保持這種看法,很多這些波動實際上只是操控,基本上是華爾街為自己設置的一個局。”

比特幣主導地位在六個月內下降5%

比特幣的主導地位,即比特幣在整個市場中的份額,過去六個月下降了5.13%,在發布時持平於59.90%,根據TradingView的數據顯示。

就在11月4日,比特幣首次跌破100,000美元的價格水平,這是四個月以來的首次,這引發了市場對該資產未來價格走勢的擔憂。

根據CoinMarketCap的數據,比特幣在發布時的交易價格為102,090美元。

雖然海蘭德推測altcoin市場可能很快會獲得動力,但其他指標仍然顯示市場以比特幣為中心。

Altcoin季節可能與以往周期不同

CoinMarketCap的Altcoin季節指數目前為28分(滿分100),仍然處於“比特幣季節”的範疇。

上一次該指數發出“altcoin季節”信號是在10月8日,當時比特幣創下了125,100美元的新高,交易者似乎預期資本將進一步轉移至更高風險的資產。然而,在10月10日的市場崩盤後,該指數迅速下滑,市場約有190億美元的槓桿頭寸被清算。

一些加密貨幣高管預計,下一次的altcoin季節將比以往的市場周期更加挑剔和集中。CoinQuant的首席執行官馬恩·弗圖尼(Maen Ftouni)最近表示,擁有交易所交易基金(ETF)或預期將獲得ETF的舊幣種將吸引大量在下一次altcoin季節中投入的資本。“並不是每一種幣都會有大幅回報;流動性將集中在某些地方,顯然,老幣會是其中之一,”弗圖尼說。

這篇文章深入探討了比特幣主導地位的變化及其對altcoin市場的影響,顯示出市場的動態性和不確定性。隨著比特幣的波動性加劇,投資者應該更加謹慎,並關注市場的最新趨勢。特別是,對於那些尋求在altcoin季節中獲利的投資者來說,選擇正確的資產將變得至關重要。這也提醒我們,市場的情緒和資本流動對價格的影響不容忽視,未來的投資策略需要靈活應對。

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