以太坊面對挑戰,重返3900美元艱難




以太坊面臨艱難的上漲之路,情緒和需求減弱

由於現貨以太坊ETF的需求疲弱、衍生品數據不佳以及宏觀經濟的擔憂,儘管鏈上活動穩定,Ether仍難以維持在$3,400的水平。

市場分析

**主要觀察:**

* 以太坊ETF的資金流出和謹慎的交易者顯示目前對ETH價格上漲的信心有限。

* 低衍生品溢價暗示以太坊價格的前景黯淡。

在過去一周,Ether下跌了11%,即使在星期六達到$3,400的高點。這一下跌與納斯達克指數的4%修正相伴隨,抹去了前兩周的漲幅。交易者現在正在討論ETH是否仍有機會重回$3,900的水平。

全球經濟增長的擔憂在消費者主導的公司發布疲弱的季度業績後浮出水面,並且對人工智能行業高估值的擔憂再次加劇。與此同時,美國歷史上最長的政府關閉事件持續影響經濟。

以太坊期貨目前的交易溢價為4%,與上周持平。這一數據顯示出市場對看漲頭寸的需求有限,儘管尚未接近恐慌水平。

市場焦慮加劇,根據密歇根大學的調查顯示,美國消費者信心預期降至歷史最低水平。11月的讀數是自1978年以來的第二低,主要歸因於持續的美國政府支出關閉。

以太坊投資者的挫折感部分源於ETH在過去一周的表現較整體加密市場低4%。這表明,除了上升的宏觀經濟風險外,其他因素也可能使交易者對以太坊更加謹慎。

以太坊網絡的總鎖倉價值降至740億美元,為自七月以來的最低點,並在過去30天內下降了24%。在以太坊的領先去中心化金融(DeFi)平台之一Balancer v2遭遇1.2億美元的攻擊後,投資者感到措手不及。

以太坊的去中心化應用(DApps)在十月份的收入為8070萬美元,較九月份下降了18%。這一下降對ETH持有者來說尤其令人擔憂,因為鏈上活動的減少對原生質押收益施加了下行壓力。

然而,11月的第一周顯示出以太坊與競爭對手區塊鏈相比的早期增長跡象。活躍地址在過去七天內上升了5%,而交易量則上升了2%。相比之下,Tron和BNB鏈的鏈上活動均有所下降。

ETH交易者的情緒因缺乏對以太坊現貨ETF的需求而受到壓制。根據Strategic ETH Reserve的數據,美國上市的產品在11月錄得5.07億美元的資金流出,並且沒有顯著的ETH企業儲備購買。

目前,ETH唯一明確的催化劑是預定於12月初的Fusaka升級。該升級旨在為網絡提供多項可擴展性和安全性增強功能。

然而,隨著衍生品市場顯示出疲軟,投資者對全球經濟放緩的擔憂加劇,短期內突破$3,900的機會似乎有限。

這篇文章僅供一般信息參考,並不構成法律或投資建議。此處表達的觀點、想法和意見僅代表作者本人,並不一定反映或代表Cointelegraph的觀點和意見。

在當前的市場環境中,以太坊的挑戰不僅來自於內部的需求疲弱,還包括外部的宏觀經濟壓力。投資者對於未來的信心受到影響,這使得以太坊的升值潛力受到質疑。隨著即將到來的Fusaka升級,這可能成為一個轉折點,但在此之前,市場的情緒和需求恢復仍需時間。這也提醒我們,投資者在進行加密貨幣投資時,必須密切關注市場動態和外部經濟環境的變化。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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