比特幣主導力下滑,Altcoin季節或將來臨




Altcoin季節信號隱藏在比特幣主導地位的“多周”看跌中:分析師

一位加密貨幣分析師表示,比特幣的主導地位圖表已經“看起來看跌好幾周”,而altcoin季節可能即將來臨。

“你應該對altcoin價格行動充滿信心的原因是,BTC主導地位圖表看起來是看跌的,並且已經看跌了好幾周,”加密分析師馬修·海蘭德在週五的X平台上發文表示。

海蘭德指出:“下跌趨勢有利於繼續,因此這次反彈在下跌趨勢中只是一次死貓反彈。”在週六的一段視頻中,他表示,比特幣的近期波動可能是由傳統金融巨頭操控的。

比特幣主導地位在過去六個月下降5%

比特幣的主導地位,即比特幣在整個市場中的份額,過去六個月下降了5.13%,截至發稿時持平在59.90%。

僅在11月4日,比特幣首次跌破10萬美元的價格水平,這引發了市場對該資產未來價格走向的廣泛擔憂。

截至發稿時,比特幣的交易價格為102,090美元。

雖然海蘭德推測altcoin市場可能很快會獲得動力,但其他指標則繼續顯示市場仍以比特幣為中心。

CoinMarketCap的Altcoin季節指數目前為28分(滿分100),這表明市場仍然處於“比特幣季節”的範疇。

Altcoin季節可能與以往周期不同

上一次該指數發出“Altcoin季節”信號是在10月8日,當時比特幣創下了125,100美元的新高,交易者似乎預期資本將進一步向風險較高的資產轉移。

然而,在10月10日的市場崩盤後,該指數迅速轉為風險回避模式,約190億美元的槓桿頭寸被清算,對加密市場造成了重大影響。

一些加密貨幣高管預計,下一次altcoin季節將比以往市場周期更具選擇性和集中性。

CoinQuant的首席執行官馬恩·福圖尼最近表示,預期會有ETF的老牌加密貨幣將吸引下一次altcoin季節中部署的資本。

“並不是每一種幣都會有巨大的回報;流動性將集中在某些地方,老牌幣當然是其中之一,”福圖尼說。

這篇文章揭示了加密市場的動態變化,特別是在比特幣主導地位減弱的背景下,altcoin可能會迎來新的機會。然而,這也提醒我們,市場的波動性和不確定性依然存在,投資者應該保持謹慎。隨著市場的發展,未來的altcoin季節可能會呈現出更為集中和選擇性的特徵,這對於投資者來說是一個重要的考量因素。

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