比特幣主導地位下滑,Altcoin季節將至?

分析師:比特幣主導地位持續走弱,或預示著山寨幣季的來臨

一位加密貨幣分析師表示,比特幣的主導地位圖表已經顯示出“持續的看跌信號”,而山寨幣季可能即將到來。

根據加密分析師馬修·海蘭德(Matthew Hyland)在社交媒體上的發文,他指出:“你應該對山寨幣的價格走勢充滿信心,因為比特幣主導地位的圖表看起來持續看跌,已經這樣多周了。”

海蘭德補充道:“這一下行趨勢有利於繼續,因此這次的反彈可能只是下行趨勢中的一次死貓反彈。”在他周六的另一段視頻中,他提到,比特幣的價格波動可能是由傳統金融巨頭操控的結果。

比特幣主導地位在過去六個月下降了5%

比特幣的主導地位,即比特幣在整體市場中的份額,過去六個月下降了5.13%,目前的主導地位為59.90%。根據TradingView的數據,這一變化反映了市場對比特幣未來走勢的擔憂。

比特幣在11月4日首次跌破10萬美元的價格水平,這引發了市場對其未來走勢的廣泛關注。目前,比特幣的交易價格為102,090美元。

雖然海蘭德推測山寨幣市場可能很快會獲得動力,但其他指標仍然顯示市場的焦點依然圍繞比特幣。

CoinMarketCap的山寨幣季指數目前為28分(滿分100),顯示出仍然處於“比特幣季”的範疇。

山寨幣季可能與以往不同

上一次該指數顯示“山寨幣季”是在10月8日,當時比特幣創下了125,100美元的新高,交易者似乎預期資金將進一步流向風險較高的資產。然而,在10月10日的市場崩盤後,該指數迅速下滑,約190億美元的槓桿頭寸被清算。

一些加密貨幣高管預計,下一輪的山寨幣季將比以往更具選擇性和集中性。CoinQuant的首席執行官馬恩·福圖尼(Maen Ftouni)最近表示,擁有交易所交易基金(ETF)或預期將獲得ETF的老牌加密貨幣可能會吸引大量資金。

福圖尼指出:“並不是每一種貨幣都會有巨大的回報;流動性將集中在某些地方,當然,老牌幣種會是其中之一。”

這些觀點引發了對未來市場走勢的深思。隨著比特幣主導地位的減弱,投資者可能需要更加謹慎地選擇山寨幣,因為市場的流動性將集中在少數幾個有潛力的項目上。這不僅是對過去市場周期的反思,也是對未來投資策略的重新評估。

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