比特幣鯨魚與散戶間的警示信號




比特幣鯨魚與散戶的「重大分歧」是警告信號:Santiment

Santiment指出,比特幣的散戶與鯨魚之間的分歧是一個明顯的警告信號,而其他分析師則預測在宏觀經濟反彈下會出現新高。

根據情感平台Santiment的報告,比特幣的散戶投資者正在大量購買比特幣,與此同時,鯨魚則在拋售。這一模式如果歷史有任何參考意義,可能會對資產價格造成困擾。

Santiment表示:“歷史上,價格往往跟隨鯨魚的方向,而非散戶。”

比特幣在鯨魚拋售時散戶卻在買入,這是一個警示信號

自10月12日以來,持有10至10,000 BTC的比特幣鯨魚已經賣出約32,500個比特幣。然而,Santiment補充道,“小型散戶錢包則在積極買入下跌的比特幣。”

在此期間,比特幣的價格從115,000美元跌至98,000美元,下降約15%。根據CoinMarketCap的數據,BTC的價格在發稿時已回升至103,780美元。

Santiment描述這一現象為“大型和小型投資者之間出現了重大分歧”。他們表示:“鯨魚在賣出,而散戶在買入的分歧可以被視為一個警示信號。”

分析師對比特幣未來幾周的走勢看法不一

Bitfinex的分析師告訴Cointelegraph,他們預測短期內將出現整合和一定的波動,而不是“明確的衝向新高”。

他們說:“我們認為,10月早期的ETF資金流入將價格推高至約125,000美元,但中旬的宏觀衝擊、大型期權到期和獲利了結將其壓回至高位的100,000美元區間。”

根據Farside的報告,週五現貨比特幣ETF結束了連續六天的資金流出,這段期間流出金額達到20.4億美元。

如果條件改善,比特幣有機會攀升至130,000美元

分析師解釋說,如果現貨比特幣ETF的資金流入恢復到每週超過10億美元,並且宏觀條件改善,比特幣可能有機會攀升至130,000美元。

同時,Nansen的高級研究分析師Jake Kennis告訴Cointelegraph,儘管比特幣歷史上年增長顯著,但“近期的清算和市場結構的崩潰使得短期內的增長可能性大大降低。”

他表示:“不過,年末之前仍然有實質性上漲的空間。”Kennis解釋說,如果動能“明確轉變”,今年比特幣仍有可能創下新的歷史高點。

這一情況顯示了市場的複雜性,尤其是在比特幣這樣的高波動資產中。鯨魚的拋售行為往往是市場情緒的指標,散戶的積極買入可能反映了對未來的樂觀預期,但也可能是對市場動盪的誤判。未來幾週的走勢將取決於多種因素,包括宏觀經濟的變化和市場參與者的行為。投資者應該保持警惕,以防止在不確定的市場中受到損失。

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