比特幣投資者分歧:零售與鯨魚的警告信號




比特幣鯨魚與散戶之間的「重大分歧」是警告信號:Santiment

Santiment表示,比特幣的散戶與鯨魚之間的分歧是一個閃爍的警告信號,而其他分析師則預測在宏觀經濟反彈的情況下,將出現新高。

根據情緒分析平台Santiment的報告,比特幣的散戶投資者正在大量購買比特幣,而鯨魚則在拋售,這一模式如果歷史有任何指導意義,可能會對資產價格造成困擾。

不過,其他加密貨幣分析師對比特幣未來幾周的走勢意見不一。

比特幣的價格趨勢與鯨魚動向一致

Santiment指出,自10月12日以來,持有10到10,000 BTC的比特幣鯨魚已經出售了約32,500 BTC。然而,Santiment補充道,「小型散戶錢包則在積極買入下跌的比特幣。」

在此期間,比特幣的價格從115,000美元下跌至11月4日的98,000美元,下降約15%。根據CoinMarketCap的數據,BTC的價格在發稿時已回升至103,780美元。

Santiment形容這是一個「重大分歧」,指出「鯨魚在拋售,而散戶在買入的分歧可以是一個警告信號。」

分析師對未來幾周的看法不一

Bitfinex的分析師告訴Cointelegraph,他們預計近期將出現整合和一些波動,而不是「明確的衝刺至新高」。

他們表示:「我們認為,10月早期的ETF資金流入將價格推高至約125,000美元,但中旬的宏觀衝擊、大型期權到期和獲利了結使價格回落至高100,000美元區間。」

根據Farside的數據,週五,現貨比特幣ETF打破了連續六天的資金流出,這段期間流出達20.4億美元。

比特幣有機會攀升至130,000美元

分析師解釋,如果現貨比特幣ETF的資金流入再次每週超過10億美元,並且宏觀環境改善,比特幣可能有機會攀升至130,000美元。

同時,Nansen的資深研究分析師Jake Kennis告訴Cointelegraph,儘管比特幣歷史上每年都會有增長,但「最近的清算和市場結構的崩潰使得短期內增長的可能性大大降低。」

Kennis表示:「不過,年末仍然有意義的上漲空間,如果動能確實轉變,新的歷史高點仍然是可能的。」

這篇報導揭示了比特幣市場中散戶與鯨魚之間的動態對價格的潛在影響,這不僅反映了市場的情緒,也突顯了投資者行為的多樣性。鯨魚的拋售行為往往預示著市場的調整,而散戶的積極買入則可能是市場底部的信號。然而,這種分歧也可能意味著市場的不穩定性,投資者應謹慎行事,密切關注市場動態和宏觀經濟因素的變化。

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