JPMorgan表示比特幣相對於黃金看起來便宜，預測公平價值為17萬美元
金融服務巨頭JPMorgan的分析師在週三的一份報告中預測，比特幣在未來幾個月將有“顯著的上行空間”。
根據JPMorgan的分析，比特幣的交易價格相對於黃金在考慮波動性後顯得低估。分析師指出，隨著黃金在十月份的漲勢中波動性上升，這使得黃金變得風險更高，而比特幣（BTC）則對投資者來說變得“更具吸引力”。報告中提到比特幣與黃金的波動性比率降至1.8，這意味著比特幣承擔的風險是黃金的1.8倍。報告指出：
> “考慮到這一波動性比率，這意味著比特幣目前消耗的風險資本是黃金的1.8倍，那麼比特幣的市場價值目前為2.1萬億美元，理論上需要上升近67%，這意味著比特幣的理論價格接近17萬美元。”
JPMorgan表示，這一機械性計算暗示比特幣在未來6至12個月將有顯著的上行空間。
市場分析師降低比特幣價格預測
隨著比特幣在週二跌破10萬美元，首次突破了四個月以來的心理支持水平，許多市場分析師和投資公司已經降低了比特幣的價格預測。
一些分析師現在預測，比特幣在2025年底之前不太可能回升至12.5萬美元的價格水平，原因包括來自關稅的宏觀經濟逆風以及10月10日的市場崩盤，這導致了加密貨幣歷史上最大的24小時清算。
投資公司Galaxy在週三將其2025年比特幣預測從18.5萬美元下調至12萬美元，理由包括比特幣大戶在十月拋售了40萬枚比特幣，投資者轉向競爭性敘事，以及市場動態的變化。
Galaxy的全公司研究主管Alex Thorn表示：“比特幣已經進入一個新的階段，我們稱之為‘成熟時代’，在這一時期，機構吸納、被動流入和較低的波動性主導市場。”
Thorn還指出，交易所交易基金（ETFs）吸收流動性，意味著比特幣的增長將比過去更為緩慢。
這些分析不僅反映了市場的現實，也顯示出比特幣在投資者心中的地位正在發生變化。隨著機構投資者的參與增加，比特幣的價格波動可能會減少，但這也意味著市場的成熟度在提升。這種轉變可能會使比特幣的價值更為穩定，並吸引更多長期投資者的關注。未來幾個月，投資者需要密切關注市場動態，以便把握潛在的投資機會。
以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。
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![ultra-sharp close-up portrait of a woman [image uploaded] with soft, fair, luminous skin, natural rosy blush across her cheeks and nose. she has large, expressive brown eyes with subtle warm eyeshadow, soft eyeliner, and long defined lashes. her lips are glossy with a natural pink tint. her dark brown hair is styled in a voluminous messy updo with loose, wispy tendrils framing her face, creating a soft, youthful look. lighting is bright, warm, and natural, coming from the side window, casting gentle highlights on her skin and hair. she wears a red sleeveless top, layered delicate pearl necklaces, and a single visible red earring with gold detailing. background features a softly lit indoor space with curtains and a window showing blue sky, creating a fresh, airy mood. overall aesthetic is modern beauty photography with clean color tones, perfect skin texture, and high-end editorial styling. negative prompt: distorted face, unnatural freckles, incorrect hair texture, uneven lighting, heavy makeup, washed-out colors, low resolution, cluttered background, incorrect accessories, over-retouching, harsh shadows.](https://ssfuture.shop/wp-content/uploads/ai_gen_1766008395-300x201.png)
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