比特幣被指低估:與黃金相比差68K美元




比特幣「與黃金相比低估68K美元」JPMorgan表示,BTC及股票再次下跌

JPMorgan指出,最近比特幣的價格回調使其相對於黃金變得低估,這與2024年底的情況形成鮮明對比。

市場更新

**要點:**

* 比特幣隨著美國股票的下跌而回落,市場對美國經濟指標的緊張情緒加劇。
* 聯邦儲備局降息的機會逐漸增加,但分析指出,風險資產可能會面臨意外的驚喜。
* JPMorgan現在認為比特幣相對於黃金是低估的。

比特幣的價格在週四的華爾街開盤時徘徊在102,000美元以下,因為美國股票因宏觀數據而下跌。

根據Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的數據,比特幣當日的價格損失接近2%。比特幣/美元的價格與標準普爾500指數和納斯達克100指數一起下滑,股票市場對裁員消息和美國家庭債務激增作出反應。

根據就業公司Challenger, Gray & Christmas的報告,上個月的裁員人數超過153,000人,為2003年以來的最高水平。該公司的首席營收官Andy Challenger表示:「十月份的裁員速度遠高於該月的平均水平。」

在因政府關門而缺乏官方就業數據的情況下,這些數字引起了市場的共鳴,交易資源The Kobeissi Letter指出,經濟「可能需要更多」聯邦儲備局的降息。

同時,交易公司QCP Capital指出,聯邦儲備局在12月會議上降息並不保證。「市場目前對後續行動的概率預測在60%至65%之間,但如果黑暗期持續,政策制定者可能會對暫停感到更舒適,這將使美元保持堅挺,信貸條件緊縮。」

根據CME Group的FedWatch工具,撰寫時12月降息0.25%的概率為69%。

JPMorgan在比特幣與黃金之間的立場轉變

QCP進一步指出,為了讓比特幣在經歷多個月的低迷後實現持久的反彈,機構投資者的回流是必要的。他們提到美國現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)的資金流出,在本周的前三天達到近9億美元。

「100,000美元的心理門檻現在成為了關鍵的分界線,任何ETF資金流動的穩定都可能迅速改變市場情緒,前提是沒有新的宏觀衝擊出現。」他們總結道。

正如Cointelegraph報導的那樣,交易者在整個星期內保持著低於100,000美元的比特幣價格目標,市場共識偏向於CME Group的比特幣期貨在92,000美元附近的「缺口」作為支撐。

當天的看漲信號來自JPMorgan的一份報告,分析師表示比特幣在最近的下跌後比黃金更具吸引力。「在去年年底,比特幣相比黃金高出36,000美元,而現在則低估了68,000美元。」首席分析師Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou如是說。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決策時應進行自己的研究。

這篇文章反映了當前市場對比特幣的看法,尤其是在經濟不確定性增加的背景下,投資者對比特幣的信心似乎有所動搖。JPMorgan的分析提供了一個新的視角,認為比特幣在當前價格下相對於黃金的價值被低估,這可能會吸引一些機構投資者重新考慮進場。然而,市場的波動性和潛在的經濟衝擊仍然是投資者需要謹慎考慮的因素。隨著市場情緒的變化,機構資金的流入或流出將對比特幣的價格走勢產生深遠影響。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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