微策略不會在下次熊市清算比特幣




策略不會在下一次熊市中面臨比特幣清算:Willy Woo

加密貨幣分析師Willy Woo表示,若要迫使策略(Strategy)清算其比特幣資產,必須經歷「一場相當持久的熊市」。

根據比特幣分析師Willy Woo的說法,Michael Saylor的策略公司(MSTR)在下一次重大加密市場下跌中不需要出售其比特幣來償還債務。「我懷疑MSTR在下一次熊市中會進行清算。」Willy Woo在周三的一則X推文中這樣表示。

策略的債務結構

策略的債務主要由可轉換的高級票據組成。策略計劃在到期時以現金、普通股或兩者的組合進行償還,具體取決於其選擇。

策略在2027年9月15日到期的債務約為10.1億美元。為了避免需要出售比特幣來償還,Woo表示,策略的股票必須交易在183.19美元以上。這個價格大約對應於比特幣價格約為91,502美元,假設其多重淨資產值(mNAV)為1。

策略在下一次熊市中的安全性

比特幣分析師The Bitcoin Therapist表示,「在下一次市場下跌中,比特幣必須表現得非常糟糕,策略才需要開始出售比特幣。」他們補充道,「如果出現任何清算,將是一場相當持久的熊市。」策略目前持有約641,205個比特幣,根據Saylor Tracker的數據,這些比特幣的價值約為640億美元。

策略的股票在周二收盤時達到七個月以來的最低點,下降近6.7%,報246.99美元。與此同時,比特幣的交易價格為101,377美元,過去七天下跌了9.92%。

Woo對部分清算的警告

雖然Woo不預期在下一次熊市中會發生清算,但他警告如果比特幣在預期的2028年牛市中未能強勁反彈,則可能會出現部分清算的情況。「具有諷刺意味的是,如果比特幣在假定的2028年牛市中未能快速上漲,則有可能出現部分清算。」Willy Woo表示。

一些高管,如ARK Invest的首席執行官Cathie Wood和Coinbase的首席執行官Brian Armstrong,預測比特幣在2030年將達到100萬美元的目標。

在這篇報導中,我們看到Willy Woo對於比特幣市場的深刻洞察,尤其是對於策略的債務結構與市場動態的分析。這不僅反映出比特幣的市場潛力,也反映出投資者對於未來市場走向的謹慎態度。隨著市場的不確定性,投資者需要更深入地理解市場波動的影響,並做好應對未來可能出現的挑戰的準備。

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