XRP隱藏牛市背離,五美元仍有機會?




XRP價格閃現經典的「隱藏牛市背離」 $5的目標仍在嗎?

XRP的價格圖表顯示出一種隱藏的牛市背離,這種模式在近年來有著50%-70%的漲幅歷史。

要點:

* XRP圖表上的隱藏牛市背離可能為多頭帶來一些喘息的空間。
* 超過6.95億美元的XRP空頭可能會面臨擠壓,如果價格回升的話。

XRP目前閃現出一種熟悉的技術模式,這種模式歷史上曾預示著短期內價格的急劇反彈。

XRP多頭仍然關注$5儘管近期回調

XRP的三天圖表顯示出一個「隱藏牛市背離」,即價格形成更高的低點,而相對強弱指數(RSI)卻顯示出更低的低點。在技術分析中,大多數分析師認為這一模式是下行動能減弱的跡象。

在XRP的近期歷史中出現了兩次這樣的背離。

第一次出現在2022年初,導致價格反彈69%,但隨後價格又恢復了更廣泛的下跌。第二次出現在2023年底至2024年初,預示著49%的漲幅,並導致價格穩定。

這兩個例子顯示,XRP在隱藏牛市背離信號出現後經常會迅速反彈,但這些漲幅通常不會持久。換句話說,這一設置可能會引發短期的漲幅,但並不一定意味著牛市的反轉已經開始。

XRP在過去24小時內下跌了11.95%,周二的交易價格低至$2.229。

「我希望能保持這個區間,隨著本周的推進回升,但目前的偏向是看跌的,」一位化名為「Guy on the Earth」的分析師表示,他在XRP圖表上發現了隱藏牛市背離。他補充道:

> 「$2.20是下一個支撐位,如果我們失去這個區間,2025年的主要支撐位在$1.90到$2之間。」

這一支撐區域與XRP目前的對稱三角形結構的下趨勢線以及其1.0斐波那契回撤趨勢線相符。

XRP空頭風險超過6.95億美元

衍生品數據顯示,XRP的多空頭頭寸之間存在著日益加劇的不平衡。

截至周二,XRP的累計空頭平倉槓桿超過6.95億美元,而多頭持倉僅為3210萬美元,這反映出市場對空頭的強烈傾斜,顯示出交易者的悲觀情緒。

這些空頭流動性大多集中在$2.60到$3.50之間,這表明即使是向該區間的適度回升也可能會觸發空頭平倉潮,或潛在的「空頭擠壓」。

同時,$2.16以下幾乎沒有多頭流動性,這表明在10月的回調中多頭已經被清洗。

目前的設置暗示XRP的下行風險在短期內可能有限,而如果價格上升到空頭密集區域,則上行波動性可能會加劇。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決策時應自行進行研究。

在這篇報導中,XRP的技術分析提供了對市場情緒的深刻見解。隱藏牛市背離的出現,雖然歷史上曾預示著短期的反彈,但也需要警惕這種反彈可能不會持久。市場的情緒和流動性狀況對於未來的走勢至關重要,尤其是在目前空頭壓力高企的背景下。投資者應該保持警覺,並考慮潛在的風險,特別是在價格波動的情況下,短期的獲利可能隨時轉變為長期的損失。這提醒我們,市場的動態是複雜的,投資者需謹慎行事。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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